Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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dr Cassandra Nojdh
Inlägg: 7443
Blev medlem: måndag 26 januari 2015 12:05

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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Enceladus skrev: torsdag 14 september 2023 11:20 Taiwan blasts Elon Musk over latest China comments
Reuters skrev:"Their (Beijing's) policy has been to reunite Taiwan with China. From their standpoint, maybe it is analogous to Hawaii or something like that, like an integral part of China that is arbitrarily not part of China mostly because ... the U.S. Pacific Fleet has stopped any sort of reunification effort by force," he said.

Taiwan Foreign Minister Joseph Wu, in a post on X late Wednesday, responded that he hoped Musk could ask China to "open @X to its people". China blocks X, along with other major Western social media like Facebook.

"Perhaps he thinks banning it is a good policy, like turning off @Starlink to thwart Ukraine's counterstrike against Russia," Wu added, referring to Musk's refusing a Ukrainian request to activate his Starlink satellite network in Crimea's port city of Sevastopol last year to aid an attack on Russia's fleet there.
Taiwans företrädare är dock måttligt imponerade av Musks fjäskande för diktaturer.
Även BBC tar upp detta tema: Taiwan tells Elon Musk it is 'not for sale'
Tyvärr har ordbehandlingen spelat BBC ett spratt:
BBC skrev:Mr Wu (Taiwans utrikesminister Joseph Wu Jaushieh - Chinese: 吳釗燮; pinyin: Wú Zhāoxiè, min anm.) also posted on X: "Hope Elon Musk can also ask the CCP [Chinese Community Party] to open X to its people." Mr Musk's micro-blogging platform X, formerly known as Twitter, is banned in China.

Mr Wu had previously said that China's military drills were intended to influence Taiwan's elections in January.

"The PRC [People's Republic of China] has made it clear it wants to shape Taiwan's coming national election. Well, it's up to our citizens to decide, not the bully next door," he wrote on X.
"Chinese Community Party"? Ack, om det vore så väl.

Genom Tesla, SpaceX, StarLink och Twitter/X har Musk lyckats skapa en informell maktbas som inte en Rockefellers lyckades med.
Så kommer turen till Soccomoro alias Jazzbacillen alias dr Cassandra Nöjdh alias Durkdrivna Doris etc. (ljudkonst av Lars-Gunnar Bodin): "Låt oss tala klarspråk och rinna ut i sanden".
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dr Cassandra Nojdh
Inlägg: 7443
Blev medlem: måndag 26 januari 2015 12:05

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

Inlägg av dr Cassandra Nojdh »

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: onsdag 13 september 2023 7:58
Enceladus skrev: onsdag 13 september 2023 0:03 Vice statsministern: Dra in bistånd till Turkiet för att få ut Kurdiska räven
Aftonbladet skrev:Nu öppnar vice statsminister Ebba Busch (KD) för att dra in biståndet till Turkiet om mannen inte fängslas eller lämnas ut.

– Bistånd ska inte gå till länder som vägrar ta ansvar för sina medborgare, som utsätter svenska folket för terrorliknande handlingar och som försätter Sverige i ett otryggt läge, säger Ebba Busch.
Sverige ökar det diplomatiska trycket på Turkiet. Erdogan har knappast råd att förlora biståndet från väst, vilket har exemplifierats i ett tidigare inlägg.
Så det är tomma hot, eftersom det som Sverige med sitt bistånd säger sig vilja stödja är sådant som banditen Erdogan inte är ett dugg intresserad av. Sverige saknar alltså helt maktmedel för att påverka Turkiet. Att div. maffiabossar, lokaliserade i Turkiet, ställer till oreda i Sverige är väl snarast en fördel för Erdogan.
Det här visar väl tydligt att banditen Erdogan inte har något emot att ställa till oreda i Sverige: Polisens hemliga rapport läckte till ”Kurdiska räven”
Rawa Majid satt tydligen anhållen då det turkiska medborgarskap han köpt av Erdogan beviljades. Majids affärer har ju gått bra, om man säger så, så han har gott om pengar. Och Erdogans statsförvaltning är fullt mutbar.
Senast redigerad av dr Cassandra Nojdh den fredag 15 september 2023 12:22, redigerad totalt 1 gånger.
Så kommer turen till Soccomoro alias Jazzbacillen alias dr Cassandra Nöjdh alias Durkdrivna Doris etc. (ljudkonst av Lars-Gunnar Bodin): "Låt oss tala klarspråk och rinna ut i sanden".
Enceladus
Inlägg: 11312
Blev medlem: torsdag 29 juni 2017 18:23

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

Inlägg av Enceladus »

Ukraine's 3rd Assault Brigade reports on liberation of Andriivka: Russian brigade is in tatters
Ukrainska Pravda skrev:The soldiers of the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade have reported that the Russian garrison in Andriivka had been surrounded and smashed to pieces, and the capture and liberation of the village would be the key to a breakthrough on the right flank from Bakhmut.

[...]

As a result of a lightning-fast operation, the Russian garrison in Andriivka was surrounded, cut off from the main forces and destroyed. In two days, the 3rd Separate Assault Brigade disposed of:
  • the chief of the enemy’s brigade intelligence
  • three battalion commanders
  • and almost all the infantry of the 72nd brigade, along with officers and a significant amount of equipment.
Ukrainska styrkor har återtagit totalförstörda Andriivka och orsakat betydande förluster för ockupanterna. Därtill har Ukraina viss framgång längre söderut.

Russian central bank hikes rates to 13%, issues hawkish guidance
Reuters skrev:Russia's central bank raised its key interest rate by 100 basis points to 13% on Friday, jacking up the cost of borrowing for the third meeting in succession in response to a weak rouble and other persistent inflationary pressures.

A month ago, responding to the rouble tumbling past 100 to the dollar and a public call from the Kremlin for tighter monetary policy, the bank had hiked rates by 350 basis points to 12% at an emergency meeting.

[...]

Capital Economics said it was not convinced inflation would return to the bank's 4% target in 2024, and expected more rate hikes to come.

"Russia's central bank is a hawkish institution that takes its commitment to inflation fighting seriously," said Senior Emerging Markets Economist Liam Peach. "With fiscal policy set to remain loose, the economy likely to continue overheating and inflation pressures to build further, there will be more pressure on the central bank to tighten monetary policy."
Ryssland höjer styrräntan oväntat från 12 till 13 procent. Enligt Bloomberg räknade marknaden med en styrränta på 12 procent:
Bloomberg skrev:Policymakers lifted the benchmark to 13% from 12% after their regularly scheduled meeting on Friday. While the decision came as a surprise to a majority of economists who’d expected a hold, money markets were implying a 100-basis-point hike.

[...]

While the currency hasn’t reached the symbolic mark of 100 per dollar it broke last month, it’s still down over 2% since late August. The ruble is benefiting slightly from a temporary acceleration of foreign-exchange sales by the central bank in mid-September, which it said were needed because a government Eurobond is coming due this week.

[...]

Another rate hike will be costly for an economy still adapting to sanctions and powered to a large extent by budget spending and a boost in military production.

The hike in August already more than tripled the odds of recession in the next six months to around 20%, according to Bloomberg Economics, which estimates they could approach 40% if rates rise further.
Uppgifter från ryska myndigheter måste förstås tas med en stor nypa salt. Inflationen är sannolikt avsevärt högre än vad som uppges officiellt.
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dr Cassandra Nojdh
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Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: fredag 15 september 2023 10:09 Det här visar väl tydligt att banditen Erdogan inte har något emot att ställa till oreda i Sverige: Polisens hemliga rapport läckte till ”Kurdiska räven”
Rawa Majid satt tydligen anhållen då det turkiska medborgarskap han köpt av Erdogan beviljades. Majids affärer har ju gått bra, om man säger så, så han har gott om pengar. Och Erdogans statsförvaltning är fullt mutbar.
Även Orbanien är på krigsstigen, och hotar Sverige: Ungern kritiserar fyra år gammalt UR-klipp – Billström varnas om försvårat Natointräde
Så kommer turen till Soccomoro alias Jazzbacillen alias dr Cassandra Nöjdh alias Durkdrivna Doris etc. (ljudkonst av Lars-Gunnar Bodin): "Låt oss tala klarspråk och rinna ut i sanden".
Enceladus
Inlägg: 11312
Blev medlem: torsdag 29 juni 2017 18:23

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

Inlägg av Enceladus »

Key Putin Ally Ramzan Kadyrov Is Critically Ill: Ukrainian Report
Newsweek skrev:Andriy Yusov, a representative for the Ukrainian Defense Intelligence, told the Belarusian news site Nexta that Kadyrov's current health status had been confirmed by both "medical and political circles." The Chechen leader has reportedly faced health problems due to ongoing kidney issues and recently blamed his worsening health on his personal doctor.

[...]

Yusov's comments were also confirmed by Ukrainian state news agency Ukrinform. Obozrevatel, an online Ukrainian media outlet, reported earlier this week that Kadyrov had fallen into a coma and was flown to Moscow to seek treatment.

[...]

Kadyrov was also accused earlier this week of murdering his personal physician and former Chechen deputy prime minister, Elkhan Suleymanov, who the Chechen head reportedly blamed for his sudden worsening health. According to the Telegram channel VChK-OGPU, which claims to have inside information from Russian security forces, Kadyrov accused Suleymanov of poisoning him and was rumored to have buried the doctor alive.
Tjetjeniens ledare, även kallad Putins "attackhund", uppges vara svårt sjuk, möjligen i koma. Han litar tydligen inte heller på ryska läkare:
RBC-Ukraine skrev:Kadyrov brought a doctor from the United Arab Emirates to Chechnya because he does not trust Moscow doctors. Dr. Yassin Ibrahim M. El-Shahat, head of the nephrology department at Burjeel Hospital in Abu Dhabi, flew to Grozny to treat Kadyrov.
En tidigare läkare sägs ha begravts levande efter att ha misstänkts för att ha förgiftat honom. En sak är säker: Kadyrov har fiender!

Russian general in Algeria in apparent return to work after Wagner mutiny, Kommersant reports
Reuters skrev:Russian general Sergei Surovikin is in Algeria as part of a Defence Ministry delegation, in an apparent return to official duties after coming under suspicion in connection with a June mutiny by the Wagner mercenary force, Kommersant newspaper reported on Friday, citing a source close to the general.

The newspaper published photographs of Surovikin wearing a khaki suit without military insignia that it said had been taken in Algeria, a major buyer of Russian weapons.

[...]

Analysts at the Institute for the Study of War said this would be "consistent with previous patterns of the Russian military leadership shifting disgraced and ineffective commanders to peripheral positions far removed from Ukraine without discharging them from the Russian military entirely".
Har Surovikin återfått Putins förtroende eller tog han bara sin tillflykt till Algeriet? Samtidigt konfiskerar privata säkerhetsstyrkor ett oljeföretag i Irkutsk.
Enceladus
Inlägg: 11312
Blev medlem: torsdag 29 juni 2017 18:23

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

Inlägg av Enceladus »

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: torsdag 10 augusti 2023 18:33 Har Karin Kneissl flyttat till Ryssland? Ja, där har hon ju en danspartner om hon skulle vilja ta sig en svängom:
Austria's ex-Foreign Minister Karin Kneissl moves to Russia — with ponies flown in from Syria on a military transport plane
The Insider skrev:In a post on her official Telegram channel, former Austrian Foreign Minister Karin Kneissl, now living in Russia, confirmed that she had brought two ponies and other belongings into the country last year, adding that the ponies were flown in on a “Russian transport flight” from Syria. As previously reported by The Insider, the animals were transported using a military-cargo Il-76MD aircraft linked to the Russian Defense Ministry's 224th flight detachment, which is under US sanctions for transporting Wagner Group equipment and personnel.

[...]

The fact that a Russian military transport plane was used to transport two ponies from a military base in Syria was first reported by Russian pro-war channel Fighterbomber on September 7. Other details of the incident were revealed thanks to a social media post by a horse club from the Leningrad Region, which reported the arrival of two ponies that started their journey in Austria and “crossed six international borders.” Notably, this publication included photos of an IL-76MD aircraft with a clearly visible flight number, but it has since been deleted.

[...]

Following her brief political career in Austria, Kneissl strengthened her connections with Russia. In 2020, she took on a columnist role for RT and joined the board of directors of state-owned oil giant Rosneft in 2021. However, with the onset of the invasion of Ukraine, she had to leave the country due to a European Parliament resolution warning of potential sanctions against EU citizens holding positions on Russian corporate boards.
Kneissl har inte bara flyttat till Ryssland. Hon lät också sina båda ponnyer flygas till Sankt Petersburg medelst ett ryskt militärflygplan - från Syrien. :roll:

Ukraine to boost defense production sevenfold in 2024 budget plan
Euromaidan Press skrev:The draft budget proposes funding for the defense sector at the level of UAH 1.6 trillion ($44 billion), which is more than half of all budget resources or 21.6% of Ukraine’s GDP.

In particular, financing the development of the defense-industrial complex, which the Ministry of Strategic Industry directly supervises, will increase sevenfold — to UAH 55.8 billion ($1.5 billion). This money doesn’t include direct spending on weapons purchase but costs specifically allocated for developing the production.

[...]

In total, the Cabinet planned Ukraine’s budget spending for 2024 at the level of more than UAH 3.3 trillion ($89 billion). Nearly 55% of the sum will be collected by taxes, while borrowings, grants, and some other minor income sources, such as the privatization of state-owned and confiscated Russian property, will cover the rest. The budget deficit in 2024 is expected at the level of 20,4% of GDP, down from 27% in 2023.
Ukraina sjufaldigar sin försvarsbudget nästa år. Det blir många drönare och missiler!

Russian lawmaker says draftees won’t be rotated out of Ukraine until war is done
Meduza skrev:Russian draftees won’t be rotated out of combat zones in Ukraine until the “special military operation” is complete, says State Duma Defense Committee Chairman Andrey Kartapolov. Soldiers forced into military service by President Putin’s partial mobilization order last year still have the right to brief rest and recuperation once every six months of service, Kartapolov told journalists on Friday.

Just a few days earlier, on September 9, however, Kartapolov said Russia’s booming recruitment of contract soldiers gives the military enough manpower to consider rotational deployments without even resuming mobilization. He stressed that the Defense Ministry was close to signing as many volunteers in 2023 as the 300,000 men the Armed Forces drafted last fall.
Ännu ett tecken på att allt inte går enligt plan. Men Putin vågar inte utlysa en storskalig mobilisering innan nästa års låtsasval - en chans för Ukraina.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 15, 2023
ISW skrev:Russian State Duma Deputy and former Deputy Commander of the Southern Military District (SMD) Lieutenant General Andrei Gurulev complained about lying within the Russian military and highlighted the effectiveness of Ukrainian air defenses against Russian helicopters. Gurulev published a Telegram message on September 15 largely reiterating known Russian challenges, though with several notable points. Gurulev complained that the culture of lying in the Russian military is the main issue preventing a Russian victory in Ukraine and claimed that false reports are leading to poor decision-making at many levels within the Russian military.[4] Gurulev also stated that Ukrainian air defenses at the front are effective against Russian helicopters and are preventing Russian helicopters from using previously highly effective anti-tank missiles, and he reiterated common complaints about Ukraine’s ability to conduct drone strikes on Russian rear areas and insufficient Russian counterbattery capabilities.[5] Gurulev is notable for having previously leaked the audio message of former Commander of the 58th Combined Arms Army (SMD) Major General Ivan Popov’s grievances over the lack of support for Russian forces on July 12, and Gurulev‘s likely senior ties with the SMD lend weight to his complaints.[6]
Det verkar inte gå så bra för Ryssland. Attackhelikoptern Ka-52 är uppenbarligen inget undervapen!

UAE Reportedly Seeking Role In South Korea’s KF-21 Fighter Jet Program
Forbes skrev:In 2017, Abu Dhabi signed a preliminary deal to work with Russia on developing an unspecified next-generation fighter. In 2021, Russia displayed a mockup of its planned fifth-generation Su-75 Checkmate at the Dubai Airshow.

However, analysts have repeatedly noted the UAE’s involvement in such programs was more to demonstrate to the U.S. that it had other options for armaments rather than a genuine effort to acquire Russian fighters for its air force, which consists of American and French jets. And, since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, cooperating with Moscow on such projects is more untenable than ever.

[...]

The only problem is the first variant of the KF-21, while stealthier than the 4.5-generation aircraft currently on the market, will feature external hardpoints rather than internal weapons bays. So, while close to a fifth-generation fighter, it will still fall short of that technical classification, leading some to unofficially dub it a “4.75-generation” aircraft. Nevertheless, future variants may improve upon this shortcoming.

The timing of this purported Emirati interest in the Boramae is also noteworthy. After all, the UAE’s neighbor, Saudi Arabia, eagerly wants to join the United Kingdom-Italy-Japan Global Combat Air Program (GCAP) developing the sixth-generation Tempest fighter. Riyadh reportedly requested to join in August, mere weeks before the UAE’s reported KF-21 interest.
Gulfstaterna nöjer sig inte längre med att köpa de senaste leksakerna. Nu vill de vara med och utforma nästa generations stridsflygplan. Var är Sverige?
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dr Cassandra Nojdh
Inlägg: 7443
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Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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Enceladus skrev: lördag 16 september 2023 1:17
dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: torsdag 10 augusti 2023 18:33 Har Karin Kneissl flyttat till Ryssland? Ja, där har hon ju en danspartner om hon skulle vilja ta sig en svängom:
Austria's ex-Foreign Minister Karin Kneissl moves to Russia — with ponies flown in from Syria on a military transport plane
The Insider skrev:In a post on her official Telegram channel, former Austrian Foreign Minister Karin Kneissl, now living in Russia, confirmed that she had brought two ponies and other belongings into the country last year, adding that the ponies were flown in on a “Russian transport flight” from Syria. As previously reported by The Insider, the animals were transported using a military-cargo Il-76MD aircraft linked to the Russian Defense Ministry's 224th flight detachment, which is under US sanctions for transporting Wagner Group equipment and personnel.

[...]

The fact that a Russian military transport plane was used to transport two ponies from a military base in Syria was first reported by Russian pro-war channel Fighterbomber on September 7. Other details of the incident were revealed thanks to a social media post by a horse club from the Leningrad Region, which reported the arrival of two ponies that started their journey in Austria and “crossed six international borders.” Notably, this publication included photos of an IL-76MD aircraft with a clearly visible flight number, but it has since been deleted.

[...]

Following her brief political career in Austria, Kneissl strengthened her connections with Russia. In 2020, she took on a columnist role for RT and joined the board of directors of state-owned oil giant Rosneft in 2021. However, with the onset of the invasion of Ukraine, she had to leave the country due to a European Parliament resolution warning of potential sanctions against EU citizens holding positions on Russian corporate boards.
Kneissl har inte bara flyttat till Ryssland. Hon lät också sina båda ponnyer flygas till Sankt Petersburg medelst ett ryskt militärflygplan - från Syrien. :roll:
Men hennes kompisar i FPÖ finns kvar i Österrike: Austria's far right walks out of Zelensky speech
Så kommer turen till Soccomoro alias Jazzbacillen alias dr Cassandra Nöjdh alias Durkdrivna Doris etc. (ljudkonst av Lars-Gunnar Bodin): "Låt oss tala klarspråk och rinna ut i sanden".
Användarens profilbild
dr Cassandra Nojdh
Inlägg: 7443
Blev medlem: måndag 26 januari 2015 12:05

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

Inlägg av dr Cassandra Nojdh »

Enceladus skrev: lördag 16 september 2023 1:17 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 15, 2023
ISW skrev:Russian State Duma Deputy and former Deputy Commander of the Southern Military District (SMD) Lieutenant General Andrei Gurulev complained about lying within the Russian military and highlighted the effectiveness of Ukrainian air defenses against Russian helicopters. Gurulev published a Telegram message on September 15 largely reiterating known Russian challenges, though with several notable points. Gurulev complained that the culture of lying in the Russian military is the main issue preventing a Russian victory in Ukraine and claimed that false reports are leading to poor decision-making at many levels within the Russian military.[4] Gurulev also stated that Ukrainian air defenses at the front are effective against Russian helicopters and are preventing Russian helicopters from using previously highly effective anti-tank missiles, and he reiterated common complaints about Ukraine’s ability to conduct drone strikes on Russian rear areas and insufficient Russian counterbattery capabilities.[5] Gurulev is notable for having previously leaked the audio message of former Commander of the 58th Combined Arms Army (SMD) Major General Ivan Popov’s grievances over the lack of support for Russian forces on July 12, and Gurulev‘s likely senior ties with the SMD lend weight to his complaints.[6]
Det verkar inte gå så bra för Ryssland. Attackhelikoptern Ka-52 är uppenbarligen inget undervapen!
Det är den gamle generalmajoren Andrej Viktorovitj Guruljov, ibland kallad "Putins järndocka" som har utgjutit sig. Kyiv Post återger detta:
‘Lies Prevent Our Victory’ – Russian Politician Details Dire Situation at Front In Extraordinary Telegram Post

Guruljov har förstås inte förstått att lögnen är helt inbyggd i det ryska samhället, och har nog inte läst Kristian Gerners bok Ryssland: https://www.bokus.com/bok/9789187263255 ... shistoria/
(som säkert inte finns översatt till ryska). Kristian Gerner är en av Sveriges främsta Rysslandskännare.
wikipedia skrev:In response to the Wagner Group rebellion, Gurulyov said: "I am firmly convinced that during wartime, traitors have to be destroyed! Today, no matter who says what, whatever fairy tales they are telling, a bullet to the forehead is the sole salvation for" Yevgeny Prigozhin.
Rå typ, det där. Rena Stalin. Hans chef föredrar mera sofistikerade metoder.

Men han lever farligt själv!
Så kommer turen till Soccomoro alias Jazzbacillen alias dr Cassandra Nöjdh alias Durkdrivna Doris etc. (ljudkonst av Lars-Gunnar Bodin): "Låt oss tala klarspråk och rinna ut i sanden".
Enceladus
Inlägg: 11312
Blev medlem: torsdag 29 juni 2017 18:23

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

Inlägg av Enceladus »

Wagner Group sustains significant losses in clashes with Central African Republic rebels
Middle East Eye skrev:The Wagner Group has sustained significant losses in the Central African Republic, according to images and video footage obtained by Middle East Eye.

[...]

The military group has been weakened by disputes with the Russian government in the wake of the death of its leader, Yevgeny Prigozhin, who was killed in a plane crash on 23 August.

Wagner is struggling to protect its presence in CAR, with opposition sources in the African country telling MEE that Russian fighters were being redeployed and replaced by Rwandans.
Enligt uppgift har Wagnergruppen förlorat fyra flygfarkoster i Afrika under den senaste veckan. Så kan det gå utan ett kompetent ledarskap!

Russian forces near Norway at '20% or less' than before Ukraine war, Norway's armed-forces chief says
Reuters skrev:Speaking after a meeting of the chiefs of defence of NATO countries held in Oslo, General Eirik Kristoffersen said Russian President Vladimir Putin knew "very well" that NATO was not a threat to Russia.

"On our border, on the Russian border, there is maybe 20% or less (Russian) forces left than it used to be before Feb. 24, 2022," he told a press conference.

"If he believed that we were threatening Russia, he couldn't have moved on his troops to Ukraine to fight the war there."
Den ryska avmilitariseringen fortsätter. Samtidigt har Ryssland inte lyckats förstöra en enda PzH 2000 i Ukraina. Sällan lider försvararen större förluster!
Enceladus
Inlägg: 11312
Blev medlem: torsdag 29 juni 2017 18:23

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

Inlägg av Enceladus »

Is one of Russia’s oldest allies slipping from the Kremlin’s orbit?
CNN skrev:This loyalty came with many self-inflicted costs. “Armenia has done almost anything and everything that Russia wanted over the last 30 years,” Ter-Matevosyan said, including halting its efforts toward European integration in 2013 after Moscow voiced its displeasure.

[...]

“I don’t think Pashinyan is the kind of leader Putin likes. He’s been brought to power by a revolution. He has this democratic, reformist, anti-corruption discourse. Aliyev is much more the kind of leader Putin can get along with,” said Dumoulin.

Relations between Putin and Pashinyan have not been helped by Armenia’s moves toward becoming a party to the ICC’s Rome Statute, which would give Armenia a new forum to voice human rights concerns against Azerbaijan. Armenia signed the statute in 1999, but its Constitutional Court ruled that its violated the country’s constitution – a decision it reversed in March, paving the way for potential ratification.

But in trying to shore up its security vis-a-vis Azerbaijan, Armenia has inadvertently delivered a stinging snub to Russia. The ICC has an outstanding arrest warrant against Putin over an alleged scheme to deport Ukrainian children.
Underskatta aldrig vikten av personliga relationer! Putins frånvaro från internationella toppmöten kommer att isolera Ryssland ytterligare.

Ukraine general says Klishchiivka village near Bakhmut recaptured
Reuters skrev:Klishchiivka is around six miles (nine km) south of Bakhmut and had a pre-war population of around 400 people. It is several miles (kilometres) north of Andriivka, which was recaptured earlier this week.

Both settlements were substantially destroyed in months of fighting for Bakhmut.

[...]

Ukrainian military analysts said this week the liberation of settlements near Bakhmut would allow the military to advance from the southern flank in the Bakhmut area, gaining control of the heights.
Samtidigt har Ukraina återtagit byn Klisjtjiivka och fortsätter att avancera söder om Bachmut. I torsdags befriades den närliggande byn Andriivka.
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dr Cassandra Nojdh
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Blev medlem: måndag 26 januari 2015 12:05

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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Enceladus skrev: söndag 17 september 2023 14:49 Is one of Russia’s oldest allies slipping from the Kremlin’s orbit?
CNN skrev:“I don’t think Pashinyan is the kind of leader Putin likes. He’s been brought to power by a revolution. He has this democratic, reformist, anti-corruption discourse. Aliyev is much more the kind of leader Putin can get along with,” said Dumoulin.
Självklart umgås Putin helst med andras diktatorer. Som turkskurken Erdogan och dennes diktatorskompis Ilham Heydar oghlu Aliyev i Azerbaijan.
Så kommer turen till Soccomoro alias Jazzbacillen alias dr Cassandra Nöjdh alias Durkdrivna Doris etc. (ljudkonst av Lars-Gunnar Bodin): "Låt oss tala klarspråk och rinna ut i sanden".
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dr Cassandra Nojdh
Inlägg: 7443
Blev medlem: måndag 26 januari 2015 12:05

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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Två intressanta artiklar i New York Times.

Dels en intervju med Finlands avgående president Sauli Niinistö. President Niinistö är en av de få västliga ledare som haft mer eller mindre kontinuerlig kontakt med Vladimir Vladimirovitj Putin, fram till krigsutbrottet, och som i någon mån kan tänkas känna honom.
Finland’s President, No Stranger to Russia, Warns Europe About Complacency

Dels en artikel om de koreanska staternas roller i detta: History Turns Upside Down in a War Where the Koreas Are Suppliers

The WarZone har en artikel som ansluter till ovanstående:
Will Russia Trade Fighter Jets For North Korean Artillery Shells?
Så kommer turen till Soccomoro alias Jazzbacillen alias dr Cassandra Nöjdh alias Durkdrivna Doris etc. (ljudkonst av Lars-Gunnar Bodin): "Låt oss tala klarspråk och rinna ut i sanden".
Enceladus
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Enceladus skrev: lördag 16 september 2023 0:57 Samtidigt konfiskerar privata säkerhetsstyrkor ett oljeföretag i Irkutsk.
Putin Is Betting On a New Class of Asset Owners to Shore Up His Regime
Carnegie Politika skrev:Loyalty is what Putin values above all else—but it’s no longer enough. Having apparently lost faith in the old elites, Putin is forming a new class of proprietors in Russia, doling out the assets of Western companies and Russian entrepreneurs among them. These people will be indebted to Putinism for their position and their fortune, and it will therefore be in their interests to preserve the regime.

Putin’s unique selling point for the oligarchs when he came to power was his willingness to accept the outcome of the controversial wave of privatization in the 1990s. The guarantee given for his first presidential term was that all the riches amassed before his presidency could be kept by their owners, and this has never changed. This pact is the foundation of Russian capitalists’ loyalty, and personal devotion to Putin is handsomely rewarded with extremely lucrative state contracts or control of entire economic sectors.

[...]

Even so, Russia hemorrhaged a record $243 billion in 2022. Transactions made by private individuals accounted for $47 billion of that: a fifth of the total amount. This outflow of capital is essentially the only form of protest against the war that the Russian elite has adopted.

[...]

Putin’s nationalization decree made it legal for the state to appropriate foreign companies’ assets in response to similar measures taken by Western countries. The Russian operations of two foreign energy companies—Finland’s Fortum and Germany’s Uniper—are already under new management linked to Putin associate Igor Sechin, CEO of the Russian oil giant Rosneft. The assets of the French dairy giant Danone, meanwhile, were inherited by the nephew of Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov, while Baltika, the Russian subsidiary of Denmark’s Carlsberg, went to Putin’s old friend Taimuraz Bolloyev.

[...]

Instead of foreign investors, it has “heroes of the special military operation,” young FSB officers and their associates, the many participants of the Leaders of Russia state management contest, the children of regional governors, and other managers. Anyone who is “one of us” can be given an asset or two for safekeeping, along with the chance to profit from it. Those people will owe their new position and wealth to Putin and his entourage, making them directly dependent on the Kremlin to preserve that new status and wealth.
Vad kan gå fel? Som bekant bedömer Budanov att "Russia’s economy will hold out only until 2025". Klockan tickar!
dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: onsdag 13 september 2023 13:28 Ja, det är trångt vid (det regionala) stormaktsbordet, ända sedan Indien bestämde sig för att bli en sådan, och sedan helt obefogat skaffade sig kärnvapen. Indierna hade väl tänkt sig den kinesiska kommunistdiktaturen som främsta motståndare, men följden blev istället att det utfattiga Pakistan mer eller mindre såg sin tvingat att också bygga sådana. Få se vem som blir näst ut i den klubben.
U.S. Helped Pakistan Get IMF Bailout With Secret Arms Deal for Ukraine, Leaked Documents Reveal
The Intercept skrev:“Pakistani democracy may ultimately be a casualty of Ukraine’s counteroffensive,” Arif Rafiq, a nonresident scholar at the Middle East Institute and specialist on Pakistan, told The Intercept.

Pakistan is known as a production hub for the types of basic munitions needed for grinding warfare. As Ukraine grappled with chronic shortages of munitions and hardware, the presence of Pakistani-produced shells and other ordinances by the Ukrainian military has surfaced in open-source news reports about the conflict, though neither the U.S. nor the Pakistanis have acknowledged the arrangement.

[...]

“The premise is that we have to save Ukraine, we have to save this frontier of democracy on the eastern perimeter of Europe,” said Rafiq. “And then this brown Asian country has to pay the price. So they can be a dictatorship, their people can be denied the freedoms that every other celebrity in this country is saying we need to support Ukraine for — the ability to choose our leaders, ability to have civic freedoms, the rule of law, all these sorts of things that may differentiate many European countries and consolidated democracies from Russia.”
Många undersökningar uppger att det finns en utbredd negativ inställning till väst i utfattiga Pakistan. Men det är ju militären som bestämmer där...

Samtidigt fortsätter Ukraina att avancera utanför Verbove. Det är förhoppningsvis bara en tidsfråga innan orten befrias!
Enceladus skrev: onsdag 06 september 2023 17:54 Ukrainas parlament har precis godkänt nomineringen av Rustem Umerov som ny försvarsminister i landet. Han har tydligen kontakter med Saudiarabien.
Ukraine removes deputy defence ministers after new minister's appointment
Reuters skrev:The Ukrainian government dismissed six deputy defence ministers on Monday following the appointment of a new defence minister earlier this month.

The government gave no reason for the dismissals, but such moves are common after a new minister's appointment. Those removed included Hanna Maliar, who frequently issues public updates on Russia's war on Ukraine.

Rustem Umerov became defence minister less than two weeks ago, replacing Oleksii Reznikov. The ministry had been dogged by media allegations of corruption while Reznikov was in the post although he faced no corruption allegations himself.
Ukraina petar sex vice försvarsministrar. Ukrainas nytillträdde försvarsminister Rustem Umjerov rensar upp i träsket! Hans sägs gärna agera i det fördolda.
Enceladus
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dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: söndag 17 september 2023 22:21
Enceladus skrev: söndag 17 september 2023 14:49 Is one of Russia’s oldest allies slipping from the Kremlin’s orbit?
CNN skrev:“I don’t think Pashinyan is the kind of leader Putin likes. He’s been brought to power by a revolution. He has this democratic, reformist, anti-corruption discourse. Aliyev is much more the kind of leader Putin can get along with,” said Dumoulin.
Självklart umgås Putin helst med andras diktatorer. Som turkskurken Erdogan och dennes diktatorskompis Ilham Heydar oghlu Aliyev i Azerbaijan.
Azerbaijan launches military action in Karabakh to disarm Armenians
Reuters skrev:Azerbaijan launched "anti-terrorist activities" in the Nagorno-Karabakh region to restore constitutional order and drive out what it called Armenian military formations there, a move that could foreshadow a new war in the region.

[...]

Azerbaijan recaptured swathes of land in and around it in a 2020 war, but ethnic Armenian authorities who see the area as their ancestral homeland, remained in control of part of Karabakh, including its capital.

[...]

Baku said it had informed Russia's peacekeeping force along with a Turkish-Russian monitoring centre which is meant to help ensure the 2020 ceasefire is upheld.
Azerbajdzjan inleder någon form av operation i området. Explosioner hörs i huvudstaden Stepanakert. Ett luftvärnssystem av typen Tor sägs ha förstörts.

Azerbajdzjans attack kan vara början på ett fullskaligt krig
DN skrev:Den ryska tv-chefen och propagandisten Margarita Simonjan – som själv är av armenisk börd – låter på X, före detta Twitter, förstå att Armenien får skylla sig självt och kallar premiärminister Pasjinjan för ”Judas”.

Den förre presidenten Dmitrij Medvedev skriver hotfullt om Pasjinjan i sin Telegramkanal:

”Han fick för sig att leka med Nato, och sen åkte hans fru till vår fiende med bullar. Gissa vilket öde som väntar honom nu.”
Inte ens den ryska propagandan är på Armeniens sida. Armenien behöver leta efter andra allierade!

Protesters Gather Outside Russian Embassy In Yerevan
Barron's skrev:Dozens of protesters gathered outside the Russian embassy in Armenia's capital Yerevan on Tuesday, amid criticism of Moscow's response to Azerbaijan's military operation against Karabakh.

"This is all a consequence of Russia's policy. If they don't want to defend (Karabakh), then they must know that there is no place for them here," one of the protesters told AFP.
Armenierna börjar tröttna på sin odugliga allierade, men skadan är redan skedd.
Enceladus
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Enceladus skrev: fredag 21 april 2023 17:06 Ukraine planned attacks on Russian forces in Syria, leaked document shows
Washington Post skrev:Ukraine’s military intelligence agency developed plans to conduct covert attacks on Russian forces in Syria using secret Kurdish help, according to a leaked top-secret U.S. intelligence document.

The introduction of a new battlefield — thousands of miles from the war in Ukraine — appeared designed to impose costs and casualties on Russia and its Wagner paramilitary group, which is active in Syria, and possibly force Moscow to redeploy resources from Ukraine.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky directed a halt to the planning in December, but the leaked document, based on intelligence gathered as of Jan. 23, lays out in detail how the planning progressed and how such a campaign could proceed if Ukraine revived it.
Vad skulle Erdogan tycka om att Ukraina ger sig in i Syrien - på kurdernas sida?
Exclusive: Ukraine’s special services ‘likely’ behind strikes on Wagner-backed forces in Sudan, a Ukrainian military source says
CNN skrev:Ukrainian special services were likely behind a series of drone strikes and a ground operation directed against a Wagner-backed militia near Sudan’s capital, a CNN investigation has found, raising the prospect that the fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has spread far from the frontlines.

Speaking to CNN, a Ukrainian military source described the operation as the work of a “non-Sudanese military.” Pressed on whether Kyiv was behind the attacks, the source would only say that “Ukrainian special services were likely responsible.”

The operation involved a series of attacks on the paramilitary group Rapid Support Forces (RSF), which is believed to be receiving assistance from Wagner, the Russian mercenary group, in its fight against the Sudanese army for control of the country.
Det blev Sudan istället. Som bekant är Sudan ett av få afrikanska länder som stödjer Ukraina militärt - i stora lass. Ukraina har nu återgäldat tjänsten:
Christiaan Triebert skrev:Receiving the same info from someone involved in one of Ukraine's first-person view (FPV) drone programs: FPV drones are being delivered to Sudan via a third party, end user in Sudan isn't a Sudanese group but conducts strikes against the Rapid Support Forces on behalf of SAF.
Det lönar sig att ha Ukraina på sin sida! Putin leker däremot med elden. Ukraina varken glömmer eller förlåter hans handlingar. Det blir en global jakt.

Coal from Russian-annexed Ukraine sold in NATO member Turkey
Reuters skrev:The data from a commercial trade data provider, reviewed by Reuters, showed that coal from at least 10 producers went to Turkey between February and July. Turkey was comfortably the biggest export destination of coal from the annexed regions, the figures showed, accounting for 95% of shipments during the period.

[...]

U.S. sanctions imposed on Feb. 21, 2022, three days before Russia invaded Ukraine, prohibit U.S. imports from or exports to the so-called Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics (LNR). Two days later, the European Union announced measures including an import ban on goods from the two regions.

Turkey does not have the same restrictions. The United States has imposed sanctions on companies, including from Turkey, that it says are supporting Moscow in its war against Ukraine.
Turkiet försvarar Ukrainas territoriella suveränitet i ord, men inte i handling. Leker Erdogan också med elden? Nu kan det bli fler västerländska sanktioner...
Enceladus
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Armenian separatists in Karabakh surrender and agree to ceasefire with Azerbaijan
Reuters skrev:Separatists running the self-styled "Republic of Artsakh" said they had been forced to agree to Azerbaijan's terms - relayed by Russian peacekeepers - after Baku's army broke through their lines and seized a number of strategic locations while the world did nothing.

[...]

The outcome would appear to pave the way for Azerbaijan to integrate around 120,000 ethnic Armenians into its society - a prospect some Armenians say they fear - and to take full control of a mountainous area that has been at the centre of two wars since the 1991 fall of the Soviet Union.

[...]

Azerbaijan sent troops backed by artillery strikes into Karabakh on Tuesday in an attempt to bring the breakaway region to heel by force, raising the threat of a new war with its neighbour Armenia.
Som sagt, Armenien behöver leta efter andra allierade innan det är för sent.

Turkiet vinnare på Rysslands bekostnad
DN skrev:Resultatet är att Nagorno-Karabach sannolikt upphör att existera, och att det finns en prorysk utbrytarstat mindre i världen.

En öppen fråga är hur Ryssland kommer att agera i förhållande till Armenien: gör man ett försök att ersätta Nikol Pasjinjans alltmer provästliga regering med en anpassligare?

Den armeniska folkopinionen har Moskva till stor del redan förlorat. Thomas de Waal, expert på Nagorno-Karabach vid tankesmedjan Carnegie Europe, säger till The Economist att om 80 procent av armenierna för tio år sedan såg Ryssland som en vän har den siffran i dag fallit till 35 procent. Och när det azerbajdzjanska anfallet kom i tisdags marscherade tiotusentals invånare i Jerevan under ropen ”Ryssland är en fiende!”

[...]

Ändå är det svårt att tänka sig att Kreml frivilligt skulle låta sig trängas ut från Armenien. Ryssland har en militärbas i Armenien och ryska gränstrupper bevakar gränsen mot Nato-landet Turkiet.
Dessutom måste Armenien akta sig för en statskupp. Putin gillar inte reformister som Pasjinjan, trots att han i början av sin politiska karriär var prorysk!

Fire Engulfs Russian Oil Depot After Drone Strike on Black Sea Port
Newsweek skrev:A huge fire engulfed an oil depot near an airport in the Russian Black Sea resort of Sochi in the early hours of Wednesday morning after a reported drone strike.

[...]

Boris Bondarev, who worked as a diplomat in the Russian ministry of foreign affairs from 2002 to 2022, told Newsweek in February that Ukraine must strike legitimate targets inside Russia to win the war.

"You cannot win the war if you don't hit your enemy," Bondarev said in a phone interview from Switzerland. "Of course, [Ukraine] must not hit civilian targets like Russia does in Ukraine."
En bränsledepå fattade under onsdagen eld i den ryska staden Sotji. Det var bara en tidsfråga innan kriget flyttade till Ryssland. Annars går det ju inte.

I sin nya bok The War Came to Us: Life and Death in Ukraine skriver författaren Christopher Miller följande:
Christopher Miller skrev:There was a conversation about whether to announce mobilization in response to the latest US intelligence. But Bakanov and Reznikov said that wouldn’t be necessary, because there’d be no full-scale invasion and another incursion in the Donbas could be met this time around with Ukraine’s reformed military that it already had entrenched there.

Then Budanov, the youngest among the officials at 36 years old, stood up and quieted down the room. He spread a map across the large table in the middle of everyone before calmly and clearly delivering a message that one person present would later tell me “drained the blood from their faces.” The Russians would invade in the Donbas from the east, yes, Budanov told the group. But Putin’s army would also attack military targets across the country with missiles and rockets. Attack aircraft would follow. And ground forces would invade with tanks and other armor from Belarus in the north, Russia in the east, and occupied Crimea in the south.
Bakanov sparkades 2022 och Reznikov sparkades 2023. Däremot är Budanov kvar. Förhoppningsvis går det bättre för Ukraina med det nya ledarskapet.

Vidare fortsätter Ukraina att avancera vid Verbove - denna gång med stridsfordon som Stryker och Marder!
Enceladus
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Saki airfield in occupied Crimea suffered a large-scale attack - Sources
RBC-Ukraine skrev:The Security Service of Ukraine (SSU) and the Ukrainian Navy conducted a massive strike on the military airfield Saki in the occupied Crimea overnight. The attack utilized drones and Neptune missiles, sources of RBC in the SSU informed.

According to SSU sources, the airfield housed at least 12 combat aircraft (Su-24 and Su-30) and the Pantsir anti-aircraft missile system (SAM). Additionally, it was reported that the airport served as a base for training operators of the Mojaher UAVs, which the Russians use for coordinating their aerial attacks and as combat drones.

The strikes carried out by the Security Service and the Ukrainian Navy caused significant damage to the equipment of the occupiers. Drones were used for the attack, bypassing Russian air defense systems before launching the Neptune missiles.
Ukrainsk militär hävdar att den ryska flygbasen Saky på den ockuperade halvön ska ha skadats allvarligt i en av attackerna under natten till torsdag.

Satellite images of Russian command post near Sevastopol struck by Ukrainian forces
RBC-Ukraine skrev:A Russian command post near the occupied Sevastopol in Crimea was hit as a result of a strike by the Ukrainian military, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty reported.

[...]

Later, the Ukrainian Armed Forces' Strategic Command reported that yesterday morning, September 20, the Ukrainian military successfully struck the command post of the Russian Black Sea Fleet near Verkhnyosadove.

Sources within the Security Service of Ukraine said that as a result of the attack, not only were enemy personnel affected, but also valuable military systems.
Dessutom jämnades en halv byggnad med marken i ockuperade Sevastopol. Även denna attack uppges ha orsakat omfattande skador på militär utrustning.
Enceladus skrev: söndag 27 augusti 2023 18:34 Military expert claims Belgium not providing Ukraine with F-16s over fears of escalation
Belgium considers supplying F-16s to Ukraine, PM says
Reuters skrev:Belgium is considering whether to supply its F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine, Prime Minister Alexander De Croo said.

Belgium is replacing its F-16s with F-35 fighter jets and its defence ministry had said earlier the F-16s were too old for Ukraine to use in battle, though De Croo said they might still be of use, for example in training pilots.

[...]

In recent months, Norway, Denmark and the Netherlands have said they will supply Ukraine with F-16s once its air force is ready to use them.
Belgien tycks vara på väg att kovända om stridsflygplan till Ukraina. Bättre sent än aldrig.

Azerbaijan's Aliyev Apologizes for Russian Peacekeeper Deaths in Karabakh
The Moscow Times skrev:Rybar, a pro-war channel on the Telegram messaging app with reported links in Russia’s military, said two Russian soldiers were inside the vehicle when it was hit, though this information could not be independently confirmed.

One of the soldiers was identified as Ivan Kovgan, deputy chief of the Northern Fleet’s submarine forces, a Russian Navy veterans’ club reported Thursday.

[...]

On the same day as the 2020 ceasefire agreement, an Azerbaijani anti-air missile shot down a Russian Mi-24 helicopter gunship as it was escorting a Russian military convoy, killing two crewmen.
Ukraina tackar Aliyev för sitt bidrag till Rysslands avmilitarisering. Men varför leds markstyrkor av en ubåtsbefälhavare? Finns det ingen bättre att avvara?
Enceladus skrev: måndag 11 september 2023 23:08 Russia faces domestic fuel crunch, braces for more shortages
Russia cuts September seaborne diesel exports to meet domestic shortage
Reuters skrev:Russia cut its seaborne diesel and gasoil exports by nearly 30% to about 1.7 million metric tons in the first 20 days of September from the same time in August, as local refineries went into seasonal maintenance and the domestic market faces a fuel shortage and rising prices, traders said and LSEG data showed.

[...]

Due to the domestic fuel shortage, Russia's government is considering an export duty for oil products of $250 per ton - much higher than current fees - from Oct. 1 until June 2024, sources told Reuters on Tuesday.

"The export duty could negatively affect the refineries economy and may lead to a fuel production decrease", one trader said.
Problemen hopar sig. Ryssland stryper exporten av diesel och bensin. Tiden är inte på Putins sida.
Enceladus
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Russia Plans Huge Defense Spending Hike in 2024 as War Drags
Bloomberg skrev:Defense spending will comprise 6% of the country’s gross domestic product in 2024, up from 3.9% in 2023 and 2.7% in 2021, according to draft budget plans seen by Bloomberg News. Secret expenditure on classified or unspecified items is forecast to nearly double as the Kremlin continues to try to avoid scrutiny of the war’s impact.

[...]

Under the draft proposals discussed by the government Friday, defense spending would rise to 10.8 trillion rubles ($112 billion) in 2024 from 6.4 trillion rubles this year. The forecast defense budget would be triple the 3.6 trillion rubles allocated in 2021, the last year before Putin began the February 2022 invasion.

Classified expenditures will rise to 11.1 trillion rubles from 6.5 trillion for 2023. That would represent 30% of total budget spending, doubling the secret share since the all-time low of 14.9% in 2021.

[...]

The budget also shows sales of business assets in Russia by foreign companies exiting the country should end next year. The government expects to receive 114.5 billion rubles in fees from the sale of those businesses in 2023, but only 2.1 billion rubles in 2024 and nothing at all in subsequent years.
Ryssland planerar en massiv ökning av försvarsutgifter i nästa års budget - förvisso räknat i en valuta som tappar i värde. Landets medel rinner ut i sanden:
CleanTechnica skrev:The growth of EVs up S-curves means that ICE sales peaked in 2017, gasoline demand peaked in 2019, and the ICE fleet will peak in the middle of the decade. Oil demand for cars will then be squeezed between continued efficiency gains and the rise of EVs. Once electric vehicles make up the vast majority of car sales, the world is around 15 years away from a quarter of oil demand falling to zero. And where cars lead, so a similar path is taken by 2-wheelers in the Global South and trucks in developed markets, meaning that half global oil demand from the road sector will soon be at risk.

The end of the ICE age is here, but we cannot rest on our laurels; challenges are many and we need to keep solving them. For motivations as diverse as costs, peace, air pollution, and climate, it is essential to make this fast transition faster.
Rysslands framtid efter kriget i Ukraina är onekligen ett dystert kapitel.

Black Sea Fleet Headquarters Takes Direct Hit From Cruise Missile
The War Zone skrev:The latest Ukrainian missile attack launched against Russian-occupied Crimea struck the headquarters of the Black Sea Fleet in the port of Sevastopol today. As well as missiles — reportedly Storm Shadow and/or SCALP-EG air-launched cruise missiles — the peninsula was also hit by a major cyberattack, interrupting internet services, according to Russian-installed officials there.

Videos and photos posted to social media showed a large column of smoke rising from the roof of the historic headquarters, with the plume being visible from across much of the city. Other imagery showed significant damage to the roof of the headquarters, leaving it at least partially collapsed.

[...]

This is not the first time the Black Sea Fleet headquarters have been attacked during the current conflict.

In July last year, a drone strike against the headquarters wounded several people and led to the cancellation of Navy Day commemorations. At the time, this was unprecedented, and, as we predicted, it was a harbinger of what was to come.

[...]

In just the last two days, Ukrainian strikes against Crimea hit a command post of the Black Sea Fleet, near Verkhnosadove, apparently inflicting massive damage to the building. Just yesterday, Ukraine said it had struck Saky military airfield on the peninsula, reportedly using a combination of numerous drones as well as Neptune cruise missiles. We are still working to confirm the outcome of that attack, if it occurred as all.
För övrigt fortsätter attackerna mot den ockuperade halvön, och i synnerhet Sevastopol, hamnstaden som kriget i praktiken handlar om. Befälhavaren dog.

Exclusive Interview With Ukraine’s Spy Boss From His DC Hotel Room
The War Zone skrev:The first time I met Kyrylo Budanov, commander of Ukraine's Defense Intelligence Directorate (GUR) and the mastermind of many a thorn in Russia's side, was in November 2021. He was a young brigadier general, largely unknown beyond the borders of his homeland, where he was a special operations hero who was thrice wounded fighting the Russians since 2014. We sat down on couches in the middle of a busy Washington D.C. hotel lobby and he laid out how Russia was about to attack Ukraine as visitors milled about unaware of the heady discussion taking place. His prediction, which included a battle map, would prove prophetic just three months later.
Slutligen The War Zones tredje intervju med Budanov, den ledare i Ukraina som Ryssland kanske fruktar mest!
Enceladus
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First big grain ship leaves Ukraine's Black Sea port
Reuters skrev:The first big ship carrying grain from a Ukrainian Black Sea port has set sail since Moscow quit a deal in July to allow exports, a Ukrainian deputy prime minister said on Friday, part of Kyiv's campaign to break Russia's de facto blockade.

[...]

It was the second of two bulk carriers to leave the port this week using what Kyiv calls a new temporary humanitarian corridor. The first, the much smaller Resilient Africa, left on Tuesday, testing the route with a cargo of just 3,000 tons.

[...]

Five vessels have left so far using the corridor, which hugs the Romanian and Bulgarian coasts.
Ukraina testar en ny korridor över Svarta havet genom bulgariskt och rumänskt vatten. Syrien, Rysslands allierade i Mellanöstern, köper gärna från Ukraina:
AgFlow skrev:According to AgFlow data, Syria imported 0.25 million tons of Wheat from Ukraine in Jan – Aug 2023, followed by Russia (0.16 million tons), and Romania (11,500 tons). Total imports hit 0.42 million tons in that period.
Här är en video som visar ögonblicket då den ryska Svartahavsflottans högkvarter träffas - av minst två missiler! Vad hände med det ryska luftförsvaret? :roll:
Enceladus skrev: fredag 22 september 2023 20:10 Befälhavaren dog.
Budanov påstår att general Romanchuk samt Oleg Tsekov dog i attacken - liksom minst sju andra, möjligen då Svartahavsflottans befälhavare Nikolayevich.
Enceladus skrev: torsdag 13 juli 2023 14:30 Häromdagen dog generallöjtnant Oleg Tsokov i en ukrainsk attack mot ett hotell på ockuperat territorium. Enligt rykten fick Ukraina tips från missnöjda.
Den nyss dödade generallöjtnant Oleg Tsekov ska inte förväxlas med den tidigare dödade generallöjtnant Oleg Tsokov. Båda har dock gjort sitt i Ukraina.
Enceladus
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Enceladus skrev: söndag 17 september 2023 12:58 Enligt uppgift har Wagnergruppen förlorat fyra flygfarkoster i Afrika under den senaste veckan. Så kan det gå utan ett kompetent ledarskap!
Avia.pro skrev:Over the past week, several aircraft crashes associated with the Wagner PMC have been reported in Africa. Among the crashed vehicles were two Mi-8 helicopters, a Su-25 attack aircraft and an An-26 transport aircraft. Previously, Avia.pro journalists reported only two emergency situations - with a Mi-8 helicopter and a Su-25 attack aircraft, however, sources associated with the Wagner PMC announced other losses.
Wagnergrupper har förlorat ännu en flygfarkost i Afrika, denna gång ett transportflygplan av typen Il-76 i Mali. Är det svårt att ersätta Prigozjin? :roll:

Ukraina fortsätter att rycka fram vid Verbove - samtidigt som Ryssland lider större förluster i södra Ukraina som försvarare!

Ukrainian forces have broken through in Verbove, top general says
CNN skrev:The general leading Ukraine’s counteroffensive along the southern front line says his forces have broken through in Verbove – and predicts an even bigger breakthrough to come.

[...]

The general conceded that for the counteroffensive to be a success, Ukrainian forces need to at least reach the city of Tokmak.

“Tokmak is the minimum goal,” he said. “The overall objective is to get to our state borders.”
Som jag skrev i början av året: Tokmak i år, Melitopol nästa år.

Exclusive: Biden aides in talks with Vietnam for arms deal that could irk China
Reuters skrev:The Biden administration is in talks with Vietnam over an agreement for the largest arms transfer in history between the ex-Cold War adversaries, according to two people familiar with a deal that could irk China and sideline Russia.

A package, which could come together within the next year, could consummate the newly upgraded partnership between Washington and Hanoi with the sale of a fleet of American F-16 fighter jets as the Southeast Asian nation faces tensions with Beijing in the disputed South China Sea, one of the people said.

[...]

Meanwhile, the war in Ukraine has complicated Hanoi's longstanding relationship with Moscow, making supplies and spare parts for Russian-made arms harder to acquire. Nonetheless, Vietnam is also actively in talks with Moscow over a new arms supply deal that could trigger U.S. sanctions, Reuters has reported.
Vidare förlorar den ryska försvarsindustrin köpare över hela världen.
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