Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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Enceladus
Inlägg: 10714
Blev medlem: torsdag 29 juni 2017 18:23

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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Armenia says it will stage joint military exercise with US next week
Reuters skrev:Armenia said on Wednesday it would host a joint military exercise with the United States next week, a development likely to irritate Russia.

The Armenian Defence Ministry said the purpose of the Sept. 11-20 "Eagle Partner 2023" exercise was to prepare its forces to take part in international peacekeeping missions. It did not say how many U.S. and Armenian personnel would be involved.

Russia has a military base in Armenia and sees itself as the pre-eminent power in the South Caucasus region, which until 1991 was part of the Soviet Union.
För första gången någonsin ska amerikanska trupper öva på armenisk mark. Rysslands intressesfär minskar oavbrutet.

Russia 'tactically' withdrew from Ukraine's Robotyne, official says
Reuters skrev:A Russian-appointed official has acknowledged that Moscow's forces have abandoned the Ukrainian village of Robotyne, more than a week after Kyiv announced its recapture.

[...]

Russia has not previously acknowledged the loss of Robotyne, whose recapture was announced by Ukraine on Aug. 28. In its daily update on Tuesday, the Russian Defence Ministry said its forces had repelled two Ukrainian attacks near Robotyne.

More than 18 months after Russia's invasion, Ukraine says it is gaining ground and has broken through Russia's first line of fortifications in several places on the front line, despite repeated statements from Moscow that Ukraine's three-month-old counteroffensive has been a failure.
Till och med Ryssland erkänner förlusten av den ukrainska orten Robotyne. Men Ukraina stannar inte där:

Analytiker: Ukrainskt förband framme vid sista försvarslinjen
DN skrev:I helgen sade generalen Oleksandr Tarnavskij, som leder den södra offensiven, att ukrainarna närmade sig den andra försvarslinjen.

Han pekade då på att skillnaderna mellan de olika skikten är stora och bedömde att Ryssland lagt omkring 60 procent av tiden och resurserna på den första och bara 20 procent på både den andra och tredje.

– Det är väldigt stor skillnad, sade han i en intervju med The Guardian.

[...]

Sedan motoffensiven inleddes har de ryska minorna utgjort det största hindret för Ukraina. I en ny rapport pekar den brittiska försvars- och säkerhetstankesmedjan Rusi på att Ryssland dragit lärdomar av tidigare strider och därför frångått arméns standard för minering. I stället för ett djup på 120 meter har delar av minfältet svällt upp till 500 meter.

Men med ett större område att täcka räcker inte de ryska lagren till för att placera minor lika tätt överallt, enligt Rusi.

– Även om Ryssland är välförsett med minor är det en ändlig resurs. Jag kan inte erinra mig ett tillfälle i krigstillfälle i historien med lika omfattande mineringar, säger Elfving.
Flera experter tror att det värsta är över nu. Ryssland kan inte stoppa den ukrainska framryckningen.

EU Set to Double Output of Artillery Shells After Slow Start
Bloomberg skrev:“We see that European industrial capacities have gone up, so this is a positive trend,” Estonian Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur said in an interview Monday. “Probably by the end of the year — or the beginning of next year — we can produce almost double the size we were producing in Europe compared to a year ago.”

[...]

Pevkur didn’t elaborate on the volumes the industry was expected to reach, but an Estonian policy document sent to member states earlier this year said the bloc had capacity to produce about 300,000 shells per year.

Doubling that figure would mean producing as many as 600,000 shells by the end of this year, with output continuing to grow. A person familiar with the matter said capacity is expected to hit 1 million shells next year.
EU:s försvarsindustri drar också sitt strå till stacken - till skillnad från den ryska:
Rob Lee skrev:3 former managers of the Tractor Plants Concern have all been convicted, released, and will have to pay fines for their role in embezzling funds for the development of the Kurganets IFV/APC. The fine they'll pay is only 1% of the value of funds embezzled.

The Kurganets, Bumerang, and Armata-series of tanks, IFVs, and APCs were supposed to be the future vehicles for the Russian Ground Forces. They were all demonstrated at the Victory Day Parade in 2015. None are in active service.
Enceladus
Inlägg: 10714
Blev medlem: torsdag 29 juni 2017 18:23

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: tisdag 05 september 2023 20:38 Inga inofficiella källor kan verifiera någonting. Resten är kannstöperier.
Romania says parts of possible Russian drone fell on its territory
Reuters skrev:Parts of what could be a Russian drone fell on Romanian territory, Romania's Defence Minister Angel Tilvar said on Wednesday, two days after Ukraine said Russian drones had detonated on the NATO member's land.

[...]

Kyiv had said on Monday that drones detonated in Romania during an overnight Russian air strike on a Ukrainian port across the Danube River.

The defense and foreign ministries along with President Iohannis Klaus all earlier denied reports of the drones detonating on Romanian territory and said Russian attacks did not cause a direct threat to Romanian territory.
Drönardelar har hittats på rumänsk mark. Är detta tillräckligt officiellt? Frågan är om det finns fler incidenter som har mörklagts.

Saudi Arabia, Russia extend voluntary oil cuts to year-end, markets jump
Reuters skrev:Saudi Arabia and Russia on Tuesday said they would extend voluntary oil cuts to the end of the year, despite a rally in the oil market and analyst expectations of tight supply in the fourth quarter.

[...]

Saudi Arabia will extend its voluntary oil output cut of 1 million barrels per day (bpd) for another three months until the end of December 2023, state news agency SPA said on Tuesday, citing an energy ministry official.

Russia extended its voluntary decision to reduce its oil exports by 300,000 bpd to the end of this year, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said in a statement on Tuesday.
Förhoppningsvis kan Kina hjälpa Europa att bli oberoende av dessa petrostater - möjligen på bekostnad av Europas bilindustri!

Crimean Tatar set to become Ukrainian defense minister at critical moment in conflict
CNN skrev:Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky has tapped Rustem Umerov, a Crimean Tatar, to become his next defense minister, replacing Oleksii Reznikov at a critical time for Ukraine’s counteroffensive.

[...]

He told Forbes in an interview last year that his personal background had influenced his role with prisoners of war. “I survived the resettlement back home to my historical homeland in Crimea. I know what reintegration is, and I know what temporary occupation is. Therefore, it is not a blanket statement to me what human rights are. For the last eight years I have been involved in the issue of exchange of political prisoners and prisoners of war. I am very concerned about this matter.”

[...]

Umerov is a Muslim, and said last year “Ukrainian Muslims are fighting for Ukraine’s independence and sovereignty.” His background has also enabled him to develop links with the Gulf states, including Saudi Arabia which assisted with a high-profile prisoner exchange last year. He was the Ukrainian official who greeted prisoners of war when they arrived in Saudi Arabia.
Ukrainas parlament har precis godkänt nomineringen av Rustem Umerov som ny försvarsminister i landet. Han har tydligen kontakter med Saudiarabien.

Germany charges intelligence 'mole' with treason in Russia spying case
BBC skrev:Prosecutors believe Carsten L shared intelligence about the war in Ukraine and the Wagner mercenary group and received roughly €400,000 (£340,000), according to German reports.

Another German man, who is suspected of having acted as a courier, has also been charged.

[...]

Germany has been a particular focus in recent months: A government official who worked for an office dealing with military equipment was arrested last month on suspicion of spying.

Germany's cybersecurity chief, Arne Schönbohm, was fired last October after he was alleged to have had links with people involved with Russian intelligence services.
En högt uppsatt tysk underrättelseofficer åtalas för förräderi sedan han misstänks ha spridit hemlig information till Ryssland. Skärpning Tyskland!
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dr Cassandra Nojdh
Inlägg: 7125
Blev medlem: måndag 26 januari 2015 12:05

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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Enceladus skrev: måndag 04 september 2023 20:26 Rumänien vill dock inte eskalera.
Men här har vi några som vill eskalera: Nato should respond more aggressively to Russia, says Polish general

Fast egentligen handlar det mest om att polackerna är sura för att de inte får vara med i USA:s nuclear sharing:
viewtopic.php?p=414515#p414515

PS. Har Polen kvar de där fascistmössorna, tydligen.

Bild
Här ser vi militärdiktatorn Józef Piłsudski (1867-1935) och hans junta efter statskuppen 1926.

Piłsudski är tydligen en kultfigur i den polska halvdemokratin. Ungefär som Miklós Horthy i Orbanien.
Senast redigerad av dr Cassandra Nojdh den torsdag 07 september 2023 10:25, redigerad totalt 3 gång.
Så kommer turen till Soccomoro alias Jazzbacillen alias dr Cassandra Nöjdh alias Durkdrivna Doris etc. (ljudkonst av Lars-Gunnar Bodin): "Låt oss tala klarspråk och rinna ut i sanden".
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dr Cassandra Nojdh
Inlägg: 7125
Blev medlem: måndag 26 januari 2015 12:05

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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Enceladus skrev: onsdag 06 september 2023 17:54 Germany charges intelligence 'mole' with treason in Russia spying case
BBC skrev:Prosecutors believe Carsten L shared intelligence about the war in Ukraine and the Wagner mercenary group and received roughly €400,000 (£340,000), according to German reports.

Another German man, who is suspected of having acted as a courier, has also been charged.

[...]

Germany has been a particular focus in recent months: A government official who worked for an office dealing with military equipment was arrested last month on suspicion of spying.

Germany's cybersecurity chief, Arne Schönbohm, was fired last October after he was alleged to have had links with people involved with Russian intelligence services.
En högt uppsatt tysk underrättelseofficer åtalas för förräderi sedan han misstänks ha spridit hemlig information till Ryssland. Skärpning Tyskland!
Ja, Sverige har väl inte mycket att slå för bröstet med heller, med två spionrättegångar under ett och samma år.
Så kommer turen till Soccomoro alias Jazzbacillen alias dr Cassandra Nöjdh alias Durkdrivna Doris etc. (ljudkonst av Lars-Gunnar Bodin): "Låt oss tala klarspråk och rinna ut i sanden".
Enceladus
Inlägg: 10714
Blev medlem: torsdag 29 juni 2017 18:23

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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Enceladus skrev: onsdag 06 september 2023 0:39 "They don't pay for oil": The ruble fell to a minimum in three weeks despite the command from the Kremlin
Central bank currency sale plan lifts Russian rouble off 3-week lows
Reuters skrev:By 1415 GMT, the rouble was at 97.92 to the dollar, barely changed on the day but comfortably above its session low of 98.34, its weakest level since Aug. 15.

[...]

The central bank said it would sell 150 billion roubles’ worth of forex in total between Sept. 14 and Sept. 22, equating to 21.4 billion roubles a day, up from 2.3 billion roubles previously.

[...]

The central bank made an emergency rate hike of 350 basis points to 12% on Aug. 15 after the rouble hit a 17-month low of 101.75 to the dollar, and has said it cannot rule out another increase at its next meeting on Sept. 15.

[...]

The central bank cancelled two OFZ bond auctions on Wednesday, citing a lack of bids at acceptable prices.
Rubeln har blivit ett riktigt sorgebarn för Rysslands centralbank. Trots diverse åtgärder fortsätter den att tappa i värde. Samtidigt intar Ukraina Verbove.
Enceladus skrev: fredag 26 maj 2023 17:32 China prioritising Turkmenistan over Russia in next big pipeline project
Russia finalising Power of Siberia-2 gas pipeline route to China, Novak says
Reuters skrev:Russia is finalising the route of the China-bound Power of Siberia-2 gas pipeline, which is intended to traverse Mongolia, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak wrote in energy ministry's in-house magazine, published on Wednesday.

Russia is trying to boost trade with Asia as economic ties with the West shrivel over Moscow's actions in Ukraine.

[...]

China and Russia have yet to agree on the terms of gas deliveries via the route, including pricing. Negotiations are complex, not least because China is not expected to need more gas until after 2030, industry experts said.
Putin har inte gett upp hoppet om en andra gasledning till Kina, men intresset är begränsat på den andra sidan. Tidigare i år påstod Putin att allt var klart.

Putin fails again as Europe’s gas storage hits 90 percent
POLITICO skrev:The news underlines the EU's success in shedding its dependence on Russian pipeline gas, which before the war supplied about 40 percent of the bloc's demand.

[...]

Russian gas fell to 23.6 percent of EU imports in the first 32 weeks of 2022, and so far this year it's down to just 8.4 percent. That puts the EU's commitment to end purchases of Russian gas by 2027 within reach.

[...]

The loss of its most dependable European customers has been a big blow for the Kremlin; revenues from energy exports were down 41 percent to $43.4 billion in the first seven months of this year, the Russian finance ministry said. Meanwhile, the ruble hit a 16-month low, and this week crashed through a symbolic benchmark of more than 100 to the dollar.
Kina kommer inte att ersätta Europa, speciellt inte när landet bygger en gasledning till Turkmenistan och premierar andra energikällor än gas. Felsatsning!

The weakest link: The Kremlin is yet to see the West “tire of Ukraine”, but some have lost resolve
The Insider skrev:The Kremlin pinned its hopes of waning Western support of Ukraine on the economic troubles Europe was bound to face due to interruptions in energy supplies; pro-government “political strategists” openly voiced these expectations on prime-time TV. Marked by a surge in energy demand, last winter seemed particularly favorable for such an outcome. However, not all of the Kremlin's expectations came true.

[...]

According to European public opinion polls, support for Ukraine has sagged across the board after eighteen months of full-scale invasion – but decreased very slightly and remains at least overwhelming if not unanimous. Thus, according to Eurobarometer, the support of anti-Russian sanctions has dropped from 80% in April 2022 to 72%, and the approval of financial and humanitarian aid to Kyiv weakened from 80% and 93% to 75% and 88%, respectively. Notable declines in support have been registered in Austria, Estonia, Spain, and Italy.

[...]

Nevertheless, the level of public support and solidarity with Ukrainians remains quite high in European countries, despite high socio-economic costs and general war fatigue. Thus, as the Eurobarometer found in July, 86% of Europeans are still open to their countries hosting war refugees (81% in Poland); 88% consider it necessary to provide humanitarian aid to Ukraine, 75% support the provision of financial aid, and 72% support anti-European economic sanctions. Moreover, 64% of EU residents still favor financing Ukraine's defense procurement and supplying Kyiv with weapons. Swedes (93%), Portuguese (90%), Finns, and Danes (89% each) are the most enthusiastic in this regard. In general, more than half of respondents are satisfied with both national and European responses to the Russian aggression. This allows European politicians to continue to demonstrate solidarity with Kyiv in both words and deeds. “EU-wide persistent public support signals that European citizens understand that the outcome of the war is of critical importance to their own futures,” a Bruegel report sums up.
Rysslands utpressning misslyckades. Vidare är stödet för EU:s vapenleveranser till Ukraina störst i Sverige. Kristersson åker ut om han inte skickar Gripen!
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dr Cassandra Nojdh
Inlägg: 7125
Blev medlem: måndag 26 januari 2015 12:05

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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Enceladus skrev: torsdag 07 september 2023 2:59 Kristersson åker ut om han inte skickar Gripen!
Det är långt till valet 2026. Pågår kriget i Ukraina fortfarande då?

Tillsvidare gäller vad jag skrev här: viewtopic.php?p=415362#p415362
Så kommer turen till Soccomoro alias Jazzbacillen alias dr Cassandra Nöjdh alias Durkdrivna Doris etc. (ljudkonst av Lars-Gunnar Bodin): "Låt oss tala klarspråk och rinna ut i sanden".
Enceladus
Inlägg: 10714
Blev medlem: torsdag 29 juni 2017 18:23

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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CNN Exclusive: ‘How am I in this war?’: New Musk biography offers fresh details about the billionaire’s Ukraine dilemma
CNN skrev: Elon Musk secretly ordered his engineers to turn off his company’s Starlink satellite communications network near the Crimean coast last year to disrupt a Ukrainian sneak attack on the Russian naval fleet, according to an excerpt adapted from Walter Isaacson’s new biography of the eccentric billionaire titled “Elon Musk.”

As Ukrainian submarine drones strapped with explosives approached the Russian fleet, they “lost connectivity and washed ashore harmlessly,” Isaacson writes.

Musk’s decision, which left Ukrainian officials begging him to turn the satellites back on, was driven by an acute fear that Russia would respond to a Ukrainian attack on Crimea with nuclear weapons, a fear driven home by Musk’s conversations with senior Russian officials, according to Isaacson, whose new book is set to be released by Simon & Schuster on September 12.

Musk’s concerns over a “mini-Pearl Harbor” as he put it, did not come to pass in Crimea. But the episode reveals the unique position Musk found himself in as the war in Ukraine unfolded. Whether intended or not, he had become a power broker US officials couldn’t ignore.
Björn Ottosson, forskare på FOI, har tidigare varnat för att techmiljardären Elon Musks inflytande över kriget i Ukraina kan vara problematiskt.

Russian soldiers have problems with missile and tyre production − ISW
Ukrainska Pravda skrev:Andrii Yusov, a representative from Ukraine’s Defence Intelligence, reported on 6 September that Russia can only produce "dozens" of Kalibr cruise missiles and an even smaller number of Iskander missiles in one month.

This will not allow Russia to replenish its reserves to the same level they had prior to 2022. Yusov also said it is difficult for Russia to get modern optical equipment, electronics, microchips and circuits, and that "grey imports" and smuggling cannot fully cover their needs.

Russian sources also noted that Russia's DIB cannot produce tyres in sufficient quantity to replace the worn tyres for military equipment vital to front line operations, causing some difficulty for wheeled vehicles to move in mud, rain and ice.
Ryssland har problem att tillverka missiler. Samtidigt har Gepard skjutit ner två iranska drönare vid Odesa. Vidare utför Ryssland meningslösa motattacker.
Enceladus
Inlägg: 10714
Blev medlem: torsdag 29 juni 2017 18:23

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Enceladus skrev: torsdag 07 september 2023 17:32 Vidare utför Ryssland meningslösa motattacker.
Signaturen "Tatarigami_UA" instämmer i stort sett med ovanstående beskrivning. Det går alltså bra för Ukraina och mindre bra för Ryssland.
Enceladus skrev: torsdag 31 augusti 2023 6:05 Drones Attack Bryansk Plant Producing Parts & Fittings For Pantsir, Iskander
​How Important for russian Defense Industry is the Kremniy EL Plant Locating Just in 110 km to Ukraine’s Border
Defense Express skrev:During a large-scale attack by drones on strategic objects of the russian federation on the night of August 29-30, the Russian microelectronics manufacturer the Kremny EL plant in Bryansk came under attack. According to unofficial sources, a fire broke out in one of the workshops after the drone struck.

[...]

At the same time, the complete destruction of the enterprise may well have a more than positive effect for Ukraine. The fact is that Kremny EL is the second largest producer of microelectronics in the russian federation. At the same time, 90% of the manufactured products are used as components for the manufacture of various military products, such as missiles of various types, unmanned aerial vehicles, etc.
Ukraina har återigen attackerat samma anläggning med drönare.

Ryssland har i nuläget 12 054 visuellt bekräftade förluster, varav 2 299 stridsvagnar, 89 flygplan, 105 helikoptrar, 14 strids- och 284 spaningsdrönare.

Japan launches SLIM moon lander, XRISM X-ray telescope on space doubleheader (video)
Space.com skrev:A Japanese H-2A rocket carrying the SLIM moon lander and the XRISM space telescope lifted off from Tanegashima Space Center today (Sept. 6) at 7:42 p.m. EDT (2342 GMT; 8:42 a.m. Japan time on Sept. 7). That was about 10 days later than originally planned, thanks to weather delays.

Both spacecraft were deployed on schedule, sequentially less than an hour after liftoff. If all goes according to plan, a few months from now, SLIM ("Smart Lander for Investigating Moon") will attempt to pull off Japan's first-ever soft lunar landing — a pinpoint touchdown that will pave the way for even more ambitious feats down the road.

[...]

Success by SLIM would therefore be historic. Just four nations have soft-landed a probe on the moon to date — the Soviet Union, the United States, China and India. India put its name on this exclusive list just last month, when its Chandrayaan-3 mission touched down near the lunar south pole.
Lyckas Japan landa på månen innan Ryssland?
Senast redigerad av Enceladus den fredag 08 september 2023 2:16, redigerad totalt 2 gång.
Enceladus
Inlägg: 10714
Blev medlem: torsdag 29 juni 2017 18:23

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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Armenia will hold exercises with the US in a period of tensions with Russia
AP News skrev:U.S. Army Europe and Africa Command said in a release Thursday that about 85 U.S. soldiers will participate in the exercises along with about 175 Armenian soldiers.

“As regards the exercise, certainly, the news raises alarm, especially in today’s circumstances,” Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said after the announcement.

[...]

Armenia this year refused to allow CSTO exercises on its territory and it declined to send troops to current bloc exercises in Belarus.
Armenien letar efter nya allierade. Varken Ryssland eller Iran kan stå emot de turkspråkiga länderna i dagens geopolitiska läge.

Pentagon announces new US$600 million military aid package for Ukraine
Ukrainska Pravda skrev:The US$600 million package is being provided through the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative (USAI). It will include equipment to augment Ukraine's air defence system, artillery munitions and other supplies.

[...]

The day before, the United States announced a new $175 million military aid package for Ukraine which includes depleted-uranium munitions.
USA fortsätter att stödja Ukraina med bland annat ammunition och minröjningsutrustning. I sin tur avancerar Ukraina denna gång mot byn Kopani.

US to send over 190 armoured vehicles to Ukraine
Ukrainska Pravda skrev:The United States of America will send 190 MRAP armoured vehicles with enhanced anti-mine protection to Ukraine.

[...]

The US ambassador noted that the MRAP armoured vehicles will be delivered to Ukrainian border guards and police.
Dessutom får Ukraina 190 bepansrade fordon som har specialskydd mot minor, så kallade mintåliga fordon. Franska Delair skickar också 150 drönare.
Enceladus
Inlägg: 10714
Blev medlem: torsdag 29 juni 2017 18:23

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dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: tisdag 05 september 2023 9:06 Förvånansvärt, trodde verkligen banditen Erdogan att han skulle kunna uppnå något nu? I så fall har han läst av läget dåligt.
UK planes protecting Ukraine ships from Russian attack after grain deal collapse
The Telegraph skrev:RAF aircraft are protecting cargo vessels carrying grain from Ukraine, following Russian attacks, Downing Street has revealed.

[...]

The Ministry of Defence stepped up its activity in the area after Moscow began attacking grain infrastructure in July, when it scrapped a deal that allowed Ukraine to export grain from its Black Sea ports.

[...]

The Prime Minister said: “Once again, Vladimir Putin is failing to show his face at the G20. He is the architect of his own diplomatic exile, isolating himself in his presidential palace and blocking out criticism and reality.”
UK tycks däremot vara bättre på att läsa av läget. Både Putin och Xi kommer att vara frånvarande i Indien (eller Bharat som det står på inbjudan till G20).
Enceladus skrev: torsdag 07 september 2023 17:32 Björn Ottosson, forskare på FOI, har tidigare varnat för att techmiljardären Elon Musks inflytande över kriget i Ukraina kan vara problematiskt.
Ukrainska kritiken: Musks inblandning resulterade i döda barn
DN skrev:Det kommer hård kritik från Ukraina som hävdar att techmiljardären Elon Musk stängt ner satellitnätverket Starlink för att förhindra en ukrainsk attack.

[...]

När uppgifterna den här veckan nådde internet fick de stor uppmärksamhet. En av Ukrainas presidentrådgivare, Mykhailo Podolyak, skriver på X, tidigare Twitter, att Musk, genom att stänga ned nätet, möjliggjorde för den ryska flottan att skjuta mot Ukraina i stället.

”Som ett resultat dödades civila och barn” skriver han.
Händelsen är påminnelse om det enorma inflytande som techmiljardären Elon Musk faktiskt har. Till och med kritiken framförs på hans egna plattform!
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Enceladus skrev: fredag 08 september 2023 20:29
dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: tisdag 05 september 2023 9:06 Förvånansvärt, trodde verkligen banditen Erdogan att han skulle kunna uppnå något nu? I så fall har han läst av läget dåligt.
UK planes protecting Ukraine ships from Russian attack after grain deal collapse
The Telegraph skrev:RAF aircraft are protecting cargo vessels carrying grain from Ukraine, following Russian attacks, Downing Street has revealed.

[...]

The Ministry of Defence stepped up its activity in the area after Moscow began attacking grain infrastructure in July, when it scrapped a deal that allowed Ukraine to export grain from its Black Sea ports.

[...]

The Prime Minister said: “Once again, Vladimir Putin is failing to show his face at the G20. He is the architect of his own diplomatic exile, isolating himself in his presidential palace and blocking out criticism and reality.”
UK tycks däremot vara bättre på att läsa av läget.
Det blir nog rätt dyrt att erbjuda flygskydd för (relativt) långsamma fartyg från ukrainska hamnar ända till turkiskt territorialvatten. Det rör sig om en sträcka på nästan 320 nautiska mil (1 Nm = 1,85 km), räknat från inloppet till Odessa. Från Donau-deltat blir det något kortare, ~240 Nm.

I Hormusz-sundet, ex.vis, där sjötrafiken är utsatt för ständiga iranska provokationer, har ju USA kombinerade flyg- och sjöstridskrafter för övervakningen.

Här i Svarta Havet har man iofs. tillgång till Nato-baser i Bulgarien och Rumänien, men många flygtimmar blir det.

En slags styrkedemonstration, närmast, snarare än en uthållig lösning.
Så kommer turen till Soccomoro alias Jazzbacillen alias dr Cassandra Nöjdh alias Durkdrivna Doris etc. (ljudkonst av Lars-Gunnar Bodin): "Låt oss tala klarspråk och rinna ut i sanden".
Enceladus
Inlägg: 10714
Blev medlem: torsdag 29 juni 2017 18:23

Re: Inför Ryssarnas invasion (2022)

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US likely to send long-range ATACMS missiles to Ukraine for the first time: Officials
ABC News skrev:The Biden administration is likely to send Ukraine long-range Army Tactical Missile Systems, or ATACMS, to help in its fight to repel the Russian invasion of its territory, according to U.S. officials.

"They are coming," said one official who had access to security assistance plans. The official noted that, as always, such plans are subject to change until officially announced.

A second official said the missiles are "on the table" and likely to be included in an upcoming security assistance package, adding that a final decision has not been made. It could be months before Ukraine receives the missiles, according to the official.
Äntligen! Republikanerna har tidigare hotat att stoppa stödet till Ukraina om inte Biden ger just ATACMS till landet. Skickar Tyskland också Taurus nu?
POLITICO skrev:Take what Rep. DON BACON (R-Neb.), a staunch Ukraine supporter and McCarthy ally, told us Thursday. He said he wants to give Kyiv more military aid, but only if the final deal includes a guarantee that advanced weapons like the long-range Army Tactical Missile System will make it to the battlefield. Without that assurance, he sees no point in further depleting U.S. stocks and spending more money to keep Ukraine at a fighting stalemate with Russia.

“Why keep giving Ukraine weapons that don’t help them win the war?” the House Armed Services Committee member said during our interview. “I don’t want to give more for a gridlock.”

In other words, the Biden administration may not win support from some pro-Ukraine House Republicans until it promises to give weapons that, to date, they’ve refused to provide. The White House has long balked at sending ATACMS because they don’t want them used to strike inside sovereign Russian territory, potentially dragging the U.S. more directly into the conflict. There’s also a numbers issue, as the U.S. doesn’t have many ATACMS to spare.
Vidare har Ukraina fångat en tredje T-90M, d.v.s. Rysslands bästa stridsvagn. Det är inte bara Nordkorea som får tillgång till Rysslands senaste vapenteknik!
Enceladus skrev: söndag 20 augusti 2023 23:49 Således fortsätter det så kallade "folkmordet på det ryska artilleriet". De ryska förlusterna är ständigt cirka tre gånger större än de ukrainska!
Det så kallade folkmordet fortsätter. Ryssland har förlorat drygt tre gånger så många artilleripjäser som Ukraina under den senares motoffensiv.
dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: måndag 01 augusti 2022 20:56 De fyras gäng verkar vara en rätt så omaka sammanslutning, men alla där är skrajsna för Kina och Iran:
New Indo-Saudi Trade Route To Bypass Iran As Transit Hub
Iran International skrev:The project, being discussed for 18 months, is seen as a part of the Biden administration’s mega deal that would have Saudi Arabia recognize Israel. The strategic concept of the "Indo-Abrahamic Alliance" has laid the framework for the formation of the I2U2 group, a grouping of India, Israel, the United Arab Emirates, and the United States.

[...]

In May, Iranian lawmaker Mojtaba Yousefi admitted that Iran has been supplanted by Turkey as the region’s transport hub despite Tehran’s ambitions. Iran suffers from poor infrastructure that makes a mockery of its ambitions in recent years to be the leader. The country’s roads and railways are in need of significant upgrades, while the ports are not equipped to handle the large volumes of cargo that would be necessary for Iran to become a regional hub. Political instability and economic sanctions mean the situation is highly unlikely to improve any time soon.

However, Tehran Times, a pro-regime publication, said in an article last year that the Russian invasion of Ukraine, “despite its grave consequences for many countries, has presented Iran with a golden opportunity to realize the long-awaited goal of becoming the global transit hub it once was,” referring to the Silk Road, an ancient network of Eurasian trade routes active from the second century BCE until the mid-15th century that span over 6,400 kilometers (about 3976.78 mi).
Snacka om ett missat tillfälle. Istället för att ta över Rysslands roll har Iran lyckats med konststycket att isolera sig ännu mer från den civiliserade världen.
Enceladus
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Ukraina har fått fotfäste i de norra utkanterna av byn Novomaiors'ke i närheten av Velyka Novosilka. Här är några kartor som visar uppdaterade frontlinjer. Vid månadsskiftet hade Ukraina återtagit lika mycket territorium som Ryssland lyckades kapa åt sig under sin kostsamma vinteroffensiv. De ryska trupperna tycks bli alltmer utmattade. Dessutom är det inte så lätt att vara på defensiven utan Surovikin eller på offensiven utan Prigozjin. Båda var för kompetenta!
Enceladus skrev: lördag 09 september 2023 1:21 Snacka om ett missat tillfälle. Istället för att ta över Rysslands roll har Iran lyckats med konststycket att isolera sig ännu mer från den civiliserade världen.
Data to oil, gas to goods: What is the announced sea-rail corridor from India to Europe?
The Indian Express skrev:Officially called the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor, it is being positioned as a modern-day Spice Route, and more significantly, as a weighty ideological alternative to China’s Belt and Road Initiative. The project involves the laying of a railway link through the Arabian Peninsula that could then link up with shipping passages to India and Europe on both ends of this proposed corridor.

[...]

The initiative, jointly spearheaded by the US and India, spans connectivity and infrastructure running through India, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Jordan, Israel and the European Union. “This corridor will show a sustainable way to the whole world,” Prime Minister Modi said. “This is a big deal,” Biden said after the announcement. “This is a really big deal.”

The India-Middle East-Europe economic corridor is “nothing less than historic”, said the European Commission chief Von Der Leyen. Incidentally, the project comes at a time when India is negotiating with the EU and the UK for a comprehensive trade deal.

[...]

The use of the land route in the Arabian peninsula could mean bypassing the congested Suez Canal that cargo ships currently take. The project eventually aims at laying out a seamless corridor running all the way from South East Asia to Europe.

[...]

Incidentally, a consortium led by the Adani group had purchased the Haifa port in northern Israel in January this year. Also, reports in Greek media in recent months had alluded to India planning to explore the utilisation of Piraeus port to expedite shipments to Europe.
Indien och USA tar upp kampen mot Kinas nya sidenväg. Indien, arabiska halvön och Grekland i EU ska ersätta Kina, Ryssland, Iran, Egypten och Turkiet.

From Armenia to Greece: India’s Geopolitics Unsettles Turkey, Azerbaijan, and Pakistan triad
The Financial Express skrev:India’s growing ties with Armenia and Greece are unsettling for Turkey, Azerbaijan, and Pakistan. These three countries have been working together to strengthen their military capabilities and to counter India’s influence in the Middle East and Central Asia.

India’s decision to sell arms to Armenia and to upgrade its strategic partnership with Greece is seen as a direct challenge to these countries. Armenia is a traditional ally of Russia, and Greece is a member of NATO. By strengthening its ties with these countries, India is sending a strong message to the informal triad led by Turkey.
Indiens ekonomiska utveckling kan rita om den geopolitiska kartan i Kaukasien. Nya allianser bildas samtidigt som gamla falnar, speciellt med Ryssland.
Enceladus
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dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: lördag 02 september 2023 10:07 Turkiet och Erdogan har insett att landet inte kan vara beroende av vapenimport i den utsträckning det är nu, därför bygger man successivt upp sin egen vapenindustri. Men det kommer att ta tid. Pragmatismen där ligger förstås i att inte konfrontera Nato i den utsträckningen att man utsätts för ett regelrätt teknologiembargo (det var ex.vis ett misstag att köpa S-400 istf. ex.vis SAMP/T, men nu bygger man sitt eget SIPER). F-16 betyder egentligen mindre, även om USA vill blåsa upp den frågan.
Erdogan: Upprörande att F-16 kopplas till Sverige
Omni skrev:I samband med G20-mötet tog Turkiets president Recep Tayyip Erdogan åter upp ratificeringen av Sveriges Natoansökan efter ett samtal med USA:s president Joe Biden om F-16-stridsplan.

På en pressträff sa Erdogan att Turkiet är ”mycket upprört” över att ”vänner fortsätter att ta upp Sverige” när det gäller Turkiets önskan att köpa F-16 av USA, enligt nyhetsbyrån Anadolu. Han menar att dessa två frågor inte hänger samman och att den svenska ansökan behandlas separat. Men han vill inte säga när den ska godkännas.
F-16-planen verkar ha en större betydelse än vad skribenten insinuerar. Samtidigt har Mali haft sönder de två Su-25-plan som landet har fått från Ryssland.

Ryssland har i nuläget 12 088 visuellt bekräftade förluster, varav 2 305 stridsvagnar, 89 flygplan, 105 helikoptrar, 14 strids- och 284 spaningsdrönare.

End of partnership? Hungary aims to reduce its energy dependence on Russia
RBC-Ukraine skrev:The government of Hungary plans to alter Russian to French nuclear fuel at the Paks Nuclear Power Plant in the future. This move aims to reduce Budapest's energy dependence on Russia, according to Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, Telex reports.

Listing the tasks of the Hungarian government for the coming years, Orban stated that among them was achieving "energy self-sufficiency, which will involve operating the Paks Nuclear Power Plant with French fuel instead of Russian."
Uppenbarligen vill inte ens Orban vara beroende av rysk energi längre!
dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: lördag 02 september 2023 9:53 Flockas är att ta i, för att uttrycka sig vänlig. Dessutom framgår inte, av meddelandet från presidentadministrationen, när och hur BAE ska kunna etablera sig i landet:
Ukraine and Sweden to jointly produce 1,000 CV-90 fighting vehicles
Ukrainska Pravda skrev:Ukraine and Sweden have a goal to jointly produce 1,000 CV-90 infantry fighting vehicles for the Ukrainian army.

[...]

The CV-90 is equipped with a revolutionary chassis with Formula-1 technologies with suspension automatically adapting to the surface. It facilitates high permeability of the vehicle, and rubber inserts in the tracks significantly reduce the noise level during movement.

"Ukrainian troops say you cannot hear CV-90 from a distance of 200 metres," Maliar wrote.
AbramsX tyder på att ett hybridframdrivningssystem skulle vara ännu tystare. USA har nyss presenterat uppföljaren Abrams M1E3, möjligen med detta.

Biden edges closer to decision on supplying Ukraine with long-range missiles
Financial Times skrev:“We’re not taking anything off the table. We don’t have a decision to announce on new capabilities but our position all along has been we will get Ukraine the capabilities that will enable it to succeed on the battlefield,” Jon Finer, the deputy national security adviser, told reporters as Biden travelled from New Delhi to Vietnam on Sunday.

“A decision could be coming soon,” one senior Biden administration official had said on Saturday.

[...]

“Yes, we are talking about it . . . In every conversation with [US national security adviser] Jake Sullivan this question arises,” Yermak said in an interview in the presidential palace in Kyiv. “They understand [ATACMS] are very much needed. I believe it will be agreed and very, very soon.”
Snart får vi veta om USA är redo att stötta Ukraina med långdistansrobotar!
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Enceladus skrev: söndag 10 september 2023 23:45
dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: lördag 02 september 2023 10:07 Turkiet och Erdogan har insett att landet inte kan vara beroende av vapenimport i den utsträckning det är nu, därför bygger man successivt upp sin egen vapenindustri. Men det kommer att ta tid. Pragmatismen där ligger förstås i att inte konfrontera Nato i den utsträckningen att man utsätts för ett regelrätt teknologiembargo (det var ex.vis ett misstag att köpa S-400 istf. ex.vis SAMP/T, men nu bygger man sitt eget SIPER). F-16 betyder egentligen mindre, även om USA vill blåsa upp den frågan.
Erdogan: Upprörande att F-16 kopplas till Sverige
Omni skrev:I samband med G20-mötet tog Turkiets president Recep Tayyip Erdogan åter upp ratificeringen av Sveriges Natoansökan efter ett samtal med USA:s president Joe Biden om F-16-stridsplan.

På en pressträff sa Erdogan att Turkiet är ”mycket upprört” över att ”vänner fortsätter att ta upp Sverige” när det gäller Turkiets önskan att köpa F-16 av USA, enligt nyhetsbyrån Anadolu. Han menar att dessa två frågor inte hänger samman och att den svenska ansökan behandlas separat. Men han vill inte säga när den ska godkännas.
F-16-planen verkar ha en större betydelse än vad skribenten insinuerar.
Insinuerar?! Nä, småkillar, ni får att välja era ord lite bättre om ni vill bli tagna på allvar. Eller också är det den moderna skolan som satt sina spår.

Erdogans gormande verkar inte stämma något vidare överens med begreppet "pragmatiker". Resten är spekulationer.

Med det stänger vi de turkiska kannstöperierna för denna gång.
Så kommer turen till Soccomoro alias Jazzbacillen alias dr Cassandra Nöjdh alias Durkdrivna Doris etc. (ljudkonst av Lars-Gunnar Bodin): "Låt oss tala klarspråk och rinna ut i sanden".
Enceladus
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Ukraine says it has retaken offshore drilling platforms near Crimea
Reuters skrev:"For Ukraine, regaining control of the Boiko Towers was of strategic importance and, as a result, Russia lost the ability to use them for military purposes," GUR said in a video posted on Telegram.

"Russia has been deprived of the ability to fully control the waters of the Black Sea, and this makes Ukraine many steps closer to regaining Crimea," it said.

[...]

GUR also captured other "valuable trophies" such as helicopter munitions and a radar system that can track the movement of ships in the Black Sea, it said.

Before Russia seized the Crimea peninsula, Ukraine extracted a significant part of its natural gas from the Black Sea shelf, providing gas not only for Crimea but also to mainland regions of Ukraine.
Ukraina har tagit kontroll över olje- och gasplattformar i Svarta havet. Plattformarna ockuperades av Ryssland redan 2015 och är av stor militär betydelse.
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Det är tydligen gamla sovjetiska olje- och gasfält ute i Svarta havet, väster om Krim. Det bolag som ägde plattformarna, Chornomornaftogaz, beslagtogs av de ryska angriparna redan 2014.

Sina öknamn har det fått efter den korrupte fd. energiministern Yuriy Boyko
Så kommer turen till Soccomoro alias Jazzbacillen alias dr Cassandra Nöjdh alias Durkdrivna Doris etc. (ljudkonst av Lars-Gunnar Bodin): "Låt oss tala klarspråk och rinna ut i sanden".
Enceladus
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dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: måndag 11 september 2023 14:25 Det är tydligen gamla sovjetiska olje- och gasfält ute i Svarta havet, väster om Krim. Det bolag som ägde plattformarna, Chornomornaftogaz, beslagtogs av de ryska angriparna redan 2014.
Icke sa Nicke, plattformarna är inte sovjetiska: EXPLAINED: Why the Return of Boyko Towers to Ukrainian Control Matters So Much
Kyiv Post skrev:These are gas production drilling platforms: B312, known as Petro Godovanets (built in 2010), and B319, known as Ukraine (built in 2012), situated off the coast of Crimea in the Black Sea.

In 2011, during pro-Russian politician Yuriy Boyko’s tenure as the head of Ukraine’s Ministry of Energy, Chornomornaftogaz, under the ministry’s control, acquired a drilling platform built in Singapore.

[...]

In March 2014, during the Russian invasion of Crimea, the Russian military seized the Ukrainian drilling platforms Petro Godovanets and Ukraine while they were still in Ukraine’s territorial waters on the Odesa gas field. The Russians also took control of the self-elevating drilling rigs Tavrida and Syvash.
Tavrida och Syvash är däremot sovjetiska.
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Enceladus skrev: måndag 11 september 2023 16:03
dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: måndag 11 september 2023 14:25 Det är tydligen gamla sovjetiska olje- och gasfält ute i Svarta havet, väster om Krim. Det bolag som ägde plattformarna, Chornomornaftogaz, beslagtogs av de ryska angriparna redan 2014.
Icke sa Nicke, plattformarna är inte sovjetiska: EXPLAINED: Why the Return of Boyko Towers to Ukrainian Control Matters So Much
Kyiv Post skrev:These are gas production drilling platforms: B312, known as Petro Godovanets (built in 2010), and B319, known as Ukraine (built in 2012), situated off the coast of Crimea in the Black Sea.

In 2011, during pro-Russian politician Yuriy Boyko’s tenure as the head of Ukraine’s Ministry of Energy, Chornomornaftogaz, under the ministry’s control, acquired a drilling platform built in Singapore.

[...]

In March 2014, during the Russian invasion of Crimea, the Russian military seized the Ukrainian drilling platforms Petro Godovanets and Ukraine while they were still in Ukraine’s territorial waters on the Odesa gas field. The Russians also took control of the self-elevating drilling rigs Tavrida and Syvash.
Tavrida och Syvash är däremot sovjetiska.
Som alla utom Enceladus-kollektivet kan se, så läser Nicke, föga förvånande :evil: -ligt dåligt innantill. Jag har inte uttalat mig om plattformar, borriggar eller annan befintlig utrustning för utvinning, enbart om själva gasfälten, dvs. fyndigheterna. Att Enceladus-kollektivet inte klarar av en så enkel sak är beklagligt, men ingenting som jag kan göra någonting åt.

Som framgår av ovanstående referens bildades Chornomornaftogaz redan 1979, för att utvinna kolväteresurser från Svarta havet. Att viss utvinning pågick redan under sovjettiden framgår här:
https://web.archive.org/web/20151117063 ... %20ENG.pdf

Att ägandet av Chornomornaftogaz övergick till ukrainska Naftogaz vid Sovjetunionens sönderfall framgår också av referensen.
Så kommer turen till Soccomoro alias Jazzbacillen alias dr Cassandra Nöjdh alias Durkdrivna Doris etc. (ljudkonst av Lars-Gunnar Bodin): "Låt oss tala klarspråk och rinna ut i sanden".
Enceladus
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dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: lördag 02 september 2023 9:53 Det där om Patriot är en av Enceladus-kollektivets favoritfloskler, ofta upprepad. Men med det nuvarande beståndet kan Patriot eller SAMP/T inte garantera något annat än möjligen säkerheten runt Kiev.
UK says Russia targeted civilian cargo ship in Black Sea port on Aug 24
Reuters skrev:Britain on Monday accused Russia of targeting a civillian cargo ship at port in the Black Sea on Aug. 24 in a previously unconfirmed missile attack it said was successfully thwarted by Ukrainian defences.

[...]

The remarks, made in Britain's parliament by Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, are the first time an official has commented on a ship being targeted since those Ukrainian efforts began. Since Aug. 18, four cargo ships have sailed from Odesa.

[...]

The missiles had targeted a Liberian-flagged cargo ship berthed in port and were successfully shot down, Britain's foreign office said in a statement. The missiles included two "Kalibr" missiles fired from a Black Sea Fleet missile carrier, it added.
Ryssland påstås ha avfyrat flera sjömålsrobotar mot ett civilt lastfartyg i Svarta havet den 24 augusti. Ukrainskt luftförsvar garanterade säkerheten.

Lula rows back from comments that Brazil would not arrest Putin
Reuters skrev:President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva rowed back on Monday from saying Brazil would ignore a war crimes arrest warrant for Russian leader Vladimir Putin, while saying he would review Brazil's membership in the International Criminal Court.

[...]

Putin has yet to travel abroad since the ICC sought his arrest, notably missing a summit of the BRICS group in South Africa last month as well as this month's G20 summit in India. He also skipped the G20 summit in Bali last year.

"If Putin decides to join (next year's summit), it is the judiciary's power to decide (on a possible arrest) and not my government," Lula said at a press conference on Monday, rowing back from his earlier remarks.

[...]

Lula's earlier comments that Putin would not be arrested had drawn criticism in Brazil.
Lula drar tillbaka sin personliga försäkran om att Putin under inga omständigheter grips om han reser till G20-mötet i Brasilien nästa år. Skadan är skedd.

U.S. Military Exercises in Russia’s Backyard Cause Alarm at the Kremlin
WSJ skrev:But Armenia has increasingly worked to shrug off Russian influence, particularly in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Earlier this year, Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan directly denied a Russian announcement that the CSTO would host exercises this year in Armenia. He also refused to send troops for those exercises, which were ultimately held in Belarus earlier this month.

[...]

While part of Armenia’s turn to the West reflects a generational shift of younger people who see their future tied to Europe and the U.S., it is also driven by Armenia’s frustration with Russia. It says Moscow, distracted by Ukraine, has failed to fulfill security guarantees in Nagorno-Karabakh, a territory that lies inside Azerbaijan but has been disputed, often violently, between Azerbaijan and Armenia for three decades.

[...]

“Armenia is overly dependent on Russia and that is our biggest strategic vulnerability and our biggest mistake, something we have to change with the West and other partners,” said Areg Kochinyan, president of the Yerevan-based Research Center on Security Policy.
Den unga generationen imponeras inte av Putins gerontokrati - eller för den delen Khameneis teokrati.
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