Forum - Spårvägssällskapet.se

RBC-Ukraine skrev:US Secretary of State Antony Blinken is expected to visit Ukraine soon. During his visit, he is likely to announce approval for the Ukrainian Armed Forces to strike Russia with long-range weapons, according to Axios reporter Juliegrace Brufke.

She quoted House Foreign Affairs Chairman Michael McCaul, who mentioned that he had spoken with Blinken.

“I talked to Blinken two days ago, and he is traveling with his counterpart from the UK to Kyiv to basically tell them that they will allow them [to hit Russia with ATACMS],” McCall said in an interview with Brufke.

[...]

Previously, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz had also expressed concerns about potential strikes on targets in Moscow, explaining this as the reason for Berlin's decision not to supply Ukraine with Taurus long-range missiles.

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑torsdag 25 juli 2024 22:03 Även kommersiella företag erbjuder produkter baserade på denna typ av konvertering.

Forbes skrev:4,000 drones over some 30 months is an average of about 130 a month. But numbers are going up. A piece in the San Diego Business Journal this June quoting Aevex CEO Brian Raduenz, the company was then “shipping more than 300 drones per month to the conflict in Ukraine.” This suggests the rate of supply has more than doubled. This is not surprise given that the company opened a new 60,000 square foot facility In Florida in October 2023.

The plant has continues to expand. In in July Aevex announced an expansion of their Florida plant: “With a multi-million-dollar investment, the facility is designed to produce approximately 450 aircraft per month on 1.5 shifts, with the potential to increase to a maximum rate up to 1,000 aircraft per month on three shifts.”

This optimism and the rate of growth suggests that the customers are satisfied with Phoenix Ghost’s performance. Raduenz says in the San Diego Business Journal that revenue is on track for half a billion dollars this year. The vast majority of this is likely to be drones. The average cost per drone looks like something under $130,000 which is low by U.S standards.

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑torsdag 04 april 2024 15:00 Helt fascinerande hur Enceladus-kollektivet lyckas leta upp den ena obskyra figuren efter den andra i Musk-kloaken. Är Hugo Kaaman "militäranalytiker"? Knappast i större omfattning än ex.vis Fabian Hoffman, han är statsvetare och inte specialist på militär hårdvara egentligen, även om han har skrivit en hel del om obemannade system, bl.a. för Jane's:

Defense Express skrev:This is a tracked multifunctional platform designed to perform a variety of tasks typical for such equipment – cargo delivery, evacuation of the wounded, mining and demining of areas, reconnaissance, and it can also be equipped with weapons. According to the publication, as of July this year, several dozen Vepr ground robots were being used on the battlefield.

The robot is armored, and the soldiers highlight the platform's high level of protection. For example, a soldier named Vadym, with the call sign "Ara," recalls how the russians tried 16 times to destroy it with drops from Mavic drones, but the Vepr was able to continue carrying out its mission. Another soldier with the call sign "Logist" highlights how easy it is to operate this equipment.

[...]

"We delivered water, ammunition, and various equipment. The russians couldn’t understand how we were holding out the entire time because they never noticed these deliveries," the publication quotes the unit’s soldiers.

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑onsdag 28 augusti 2024 18:24 Ovanstående bevisar bara mina ord - det mesta av vad som påstås här går inte att verifiera. Jag betraktar detta mer som en del av den psykologiska krigföringen, snarare än en redovisning av den faktiska militära kapaciteten.

Special Kherson Cat skrev:The first visually confirmed loss of the Russian Zala Z-20 reconnaissance drone during the war.

Enceladus skrev: ↑tisdag 10 september 2024 18:14

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑torsdag 25 juli 2024 22:03 Även kommersiella företag erbjuder produkter baserade på denna typ av konvertering.

Tracking Down The Mysterious Phoenix Ghost Kamikaze Drone

Forbes skrev:4,000 drones over some 30 months is an average of about 130 a month. But numbers are going up. A piece in the San Diego Business Journal this June quoting Aevex CEO Brian Raduenz, the company was then “shipping more than 300 drones per month to the conflict in Ukraine.” This suggests the rate of supply has more than doubled. This is not surprise given that the company opened a new 60,000 square foot facility In Florida in October 2023.

The plant has continues to expand. In in July Aevex announced an expansion of their Florida plant: “With a multi-million-dollar investment, the facility is designed to produce approximately 450 aircraft per month on 1.5 shifts, with the potential to increase to a maximum rate up to 1,000 aircraft per month on three shifts.”

This optimism and the rate of growth suggests that the customers are satisfied with Phoenix Ghost’s performance. Raduenz says in the San Diego Business Journal that revenue is on track for half a billion dollars this year. The vast majority of this is likely to be drones. The average cost per drone looks like something under $130,000 which is low by U.S standards.

Den mystiska Phoenix Ghost är en annan produkt som erbjuds av det "kommersiella" företaget Aevex.

Enceladus skrev: ↑tisdag 10 september 2024 18:14 How the Vepr Robotic Platform Surprised russian Forces and Helped the Ukrainian Soldiers Hold Their Position for Two Weeks

Defense Express skrev:This is a tracked multifunctional platform designed to perform a variety of tasks typical for such equipment – cargo delivery, evacuation of the wounded, mining and demining of areas, reconnaissance, and it can also be equipped with weapons. According to the publication, as of July this year, several dozen Vepr ground robots were being used on the battlefield.

The robot is armored, and the soldiers highlight the platform's high level of protection. For example, a soldier named Vadym, with the call sign "Ara," recalls how the russians tried 16 times to destroy it with drops from Mavic drones, but the Vepr was able to continue carrying out its mission. Another soldier with the call sign "Logist" highlights how easy it is to operate this equipment.

[...]

"We delivered water, ammunition, and various equipment. The russians couldn’t understand how we were holding out the entire time because they never noticed these deliveries," the publication quotes the unit’s soldiers.

Batterielektriska markdrönare fortsätter att revolutionera slagfältet i Ukraina, oavsett vad skeptiker säger.

Enceladus skrev: ↑lördag 13 januari 2024 7:06
Ukrainian robotic tank strikes Russian positions

Defence Blog skrev:The Ukrainian military has unveiled rare footage of unmanned ground vehicle (UGV) strikes in an attack on Russian positions.

The footage suggests that the remote-controlled drone engaged with Russian military forces. The video captures the drone’s assault on one of the Russian strongholds positioned near a road. The outcome of the strike and details about the specific drone used in the operation remain undisclosed.

It is plausible that the robotic platform involved in the attack is the Ironclad, a revolutionary product engineered by Ukrainian innovators at Roboneers. This drone transforms the approach to warfare, contributing to the preservation of military lives.

Ukraina har många hemmasnickrade drönare, inklusive obemannade markfordon. Full tillgång till västerländsk teknologi skulle göra dessa fordon potentare.

Enceladus skrev: ↑tisdag 10 september 2024 18:14

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑onsdag 28 augusti 2024 18:24 Ovanstående bevisar bara mina ord - det mesta av vad som påstås här går inte att verifiera. Jag betraktar detta mer som en del av den psykologiska krigföringen, snarare än en redovisning av den faktiska militära kapaciteten.

De flesta militäranalytiker ställer inte lika höga krav som Oryx, men var så god och verifiera själv:

Special Kherson Cat skrev:The first visually confirmed loss of the Russian Zala Z-20 reconnaissance drone during the war.

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑fredag 30 augusti 2024 15:59

Enceladus skrev: ↑fredag 30 augusti 2024 15:41 Jag behövde förklara att Kina visst har ett monopol på FPV-drönare - liksom det mesta som har att göra med batterier och elmotorer. Olja är ett dåligt alternativ:

Det var i så fall en dålig "förklaring", på gränsen till rent svammel. Dessutom handlade frågan om de om de komponenter Ukraina behöver för att bygga sina UAV-er.

Noah Smith skrev:Poland is the world’s second-largest manufacturer of batteries, which are the most important component of an FPV drone. It’s emerging as a destination for foreign direct investment in chip manufacturing, another crucial input. And its status as a locus of European EV manufacturing has given it the capacity to make electric motors as well. A drone, really, is just a battery, some chips, and a motor.

As for missiles, Poland benefits from being close to Ukraine, which was the center for Soviet rocket manufacturing. Ukrainians regularly invent their own excellent new missiles, but it’s hard to manufacture these in large numbers because the Russians can attack the factories. So why not have the Ukrainians make their missiles in Poland? That would make the factories safer, as well as giving them access to a large pool of local skilled labor.

Building up a tremendous amount of drone and missile manufacturing capacity in Poland would accomplish several purposes at once. First, and most importantly, it would bolster Poland’s own defense. Second, it would allow Poland to support Ukraine more effectively. But third, it would help Poland continue to grow its economy.

Usually we think of military-related spending as a cost to society — a necessary evil that makes a country poorer in order to make it more secure. But for Poland, missile and (especially) drone industries might be able to help it build the domestic brand champions that its FDI-centric development strategy has lacked so far. Developed countries are going to be looking to source battery-powered drones from someone other than China’s DJI, and a Polish drone company could fill that gap. As for missiles, they could help bootstrap a Polish aerospace industry.

Defense Express skrev:According to the report, the U.S. now produces 40,000 155mm artillery shells per month — a 178% increase from the 14,400 rounds produced in 2022, when investments ramped up following russia's invasion of Ukraine. However, propellant charge production, essential for firing these shells, is lagging, with only 18,000 units produced — just a 24% increase from 2022's 14,500 units.

[...]

The report also highlights plans for Germany, Spain, Hungary, South Africa, and Australia to collectively increase their production to 700,000 artillery shells and 10,000 tons of gunpowder per year by 2025. It also mentions a joint effort between Germany, Romania, and Spain to produce up to 1,000 GEM-T missiles for the Patriot system.

Other countries are also investing in expanding ammunition production, largely through the European ASAP program, which aims to boost production capacity to 2 million artillery rounds and missiles per year by 2025.

Avia.pro skrev:An incident that caused a wide resonance occurred at the Noyabrsk airport: two schoolchildren, 13-year-old Timur and 14-year-old Sasha, set fire to a Mi-8 helicopter. According to Baza, the teenagers received the task via Telegram and were promised 5 million rubles for the completed "work". The penetration into the protected area occurred through a hole in the fence, through which they later fled the scene of the crime.

After the arson, the teenagers called an ambulance because they had suffered serious burns while trying to set the aircraft on fire. They poured flammable liquid on the helicopter, but their first attempt to set it on fire was unsuccessful - the boys threw a cigarette butt towards the helicopter, but no fire occurred. Only after the second attempt did one of them stick the cigarette butt into the liquid, which led to a powerful explosion.

Immediately after the incident, the teenagers were taken to the hospital, where they were taken under guard. The helicopter burned almost completely, only its tail section survived. During interrogations, the schoolchildren said that several days earlier they had also set fire to a cell phone tower, for which they received 30 thousand rubles. The incident is of particular interest in light of the fact that the father of one of the arsonists is serving in the area of ​​a special military operation.

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑tisdag 02 juli 2024 23:11 Som jag skrev tidigare är det tur för Ukraina att Ryssland har inte tillräckligt många Iskander-M/9M723-missiler att sätta in på slagfältet i Ukraina, eftersom de då skulle äventyra sin kärnvapenberedskap. Annars skulle vi ha sett helt andra vapeninsatser med detta system.

Avia.pro skrev:Iranian journalist Khayal Muazzin said that Russia has transferred Iskander tactical missiles to Iran that can be equipped with nuclear warheads. According to him, this information has already been confirmed and the missiles have been delivered to Iran.

The transfer of Iskanders to Iran is a significant development that could have a significant impact on the balance of power in the Middle East and the Persian Gulf region. Iskander tactical missile systems are considered to be among the most powerful and highly accurate systems in Russia's arsenal. They can carry both conventional and nuclear warheads, making them a potentially serious threat to any country that finds itself within their range.

Enceladus skrev: ↑torsdag 29 augusti 2024 13:50 Belarus drar sig däremot inte för att eskalera:

Kyiv Post skrev:Romanian Air Force F-16 fighters successfully intercepted an explosives-toting Russian drone violating NATO airspace during a recent Kremlin attack on Ukraine but the pilots weren’t allowed to shoot down the unmanned, robotic aircraft because it would have been illegal under the Romanian national law, news reports and official statements said.

The two Romanian fighter pilots caught up with the Russian Shahed drone – an Iranian-designed flying wing the size of a motorcycle and usually armed with a 30-75 kg warhead – after it flew into NATO air space over the Danube delta shortly after 2 a.m. on Sunday, according to a Romania Defense Ministry press release made public on Monday.

Romanian ground-based radars first spotted the incoming Russian drone while it was over international waters in the Black Sea. They had it on screen for at least a half hour, before it crashed into a Romanian farm field, the statement said.

[...]

The two F-16 pilots had a weapons employment zone (WEZ) solution on the Russian drone with their fire control radars and could easily have shot it down, but legislation dating back to the early 2000s bans the Romanian military from attacking aircraft encroaching into Romanian air space unless the aircraft is positively identified and is either about to or in the actual process of committing an overtly hostile or dangerous act, the article said.

According to rules of engagement (ROE) used by the Romanian Air Force per the article, Romanian pilots must determine whether an aircraft is a real threat before engaging it, even if it is a drone. Per that ROE, Romanian fighter pilots may only shoot down an airborne target they intercept and engage after firing warning shots and attempting to communicate with the aircraft.

However, the outdated laws and ROE do not account for the current widespread use of lethal robotic drones – which have no pilots aboard – and therefore cannot be communicated with by radio, the article said.

Enceladus skrev: ↑onsdag 11 september 2024 13:47 Samma ryska källa skriver att Ryssland levererar dyrbara Iskander-missiler till Iran:

Avia.pro skrev:Iranian journalist Khayal Muazzin said that Russia has transferred Iskander tactical missiles to Iran that can be equipped with nuclear warheads. According to him, this information has already been confirmed and the missiles have been delivered to Iran.

The transfer of Iskanders to Iran is a significant development that could have a significant impact on the balance of power in the Middle East and the Persian Gulf region. Iskander tactical missile systems are considered to be among the most powerful and highly accurate systems in Russia's arsenal. They can carry both conventional and nuclear warheads, making them a potentially serious threat to any country that finds itself within their range.

Hur trovärdig är informationen?

Enceladus skrev: ↑torsdag 12 september 2024 6:42

Enceladus skrev: ↑torsdag 29 augusti 2024 13:50 Belarus drar sig däremot inte för att eskalera:

Romanian F-16s Give Free Pass to Kremlin Kamikaze Drone in NATO Skies – ‘No Legal Way to Shoot’

Kyiv Post skrev:Romanian Air Force F-16 fighters successfully intercepted an explosives-toting Russian drone violating NATO airspace during a recent Kremlin attack on Ukraine but the pilots weren’t allowed to shoot down the unmanned, robotic aircraft because it would have been illegal under the Romanian national law, news reports and official statements said.

The two Romanian fighter pilots caught up with the Russian Shahed drone – an Iranian-designed flying wing the size of a motorcycle and usually armed with a 30-75 kg warhead – after it flew into NATO air space over the Danube delta shortly after 2 a.m. on Sunday, according to a Romania Defense Ministry press release made public on Monday.

Romanian ground-based radars first spotted the incoming Russian drone while it was over international waters in the Black Sea. They had it on screen for at least a half hour, before it crashed into a Romanian farm field, the statement said.

[...]

The two F-16 pilots had a weapons employment zone (WEZ) solution on the Russian drone with their fire control radars and could easily have shot it down, but legislation dating back to the early 2000s bans the Romanian military from attacking aircraft encroaching into Romanian air space unless the aircraft is positively identified and is either about to or in the actual process of committing an overtly hostile or dangerous act, the article said.

According to rules of engagement (ROE) used by the Romanian Air Force per the article, Romanian pilots must determine whether an aircraft is a real threat before engaging it, even if it is a drone. Per that ROE, Romanian fighter pilots may only shoot down an airborne target they intercept and engage after firing warning shots and attempting to communicate with the aircraft.

However, the outdated laws and ROE do not account for the current widespread use of lethal robotic drones – which have no pilots aboard – and therefore cannot be communicated with by radio, the article said.

Kan detta vara förklaringen till att ryska drönare inte skjuts ner i Natoländer?

Enceladus skrev: ↑onsdag 11 september 2024 13:47

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑fredag 30 augusti 2024 15:59

Enceladus skrev: ↑fredag 30 augusti 2024 15:41 Jag behövde förklara att Kina visst har ett monopol på FPV-drönare - liksom det mesta som har att göra med batterier och elmotorer. Olja är ett dåligt alternativ:

Det var i så fall en dålig "förklaring", på gränsen till rent svammel. Dessutom handlade frågan om de om de komponenter Ukraina behöver för att bygga sina UAV-er.

Six ideas for Poland

Noah Smith skrev:Poland is the world’s second-largest manufacturer of batteries, which are the most important component of an FPV drone. It’s emerging as a destination for foreign direct investment in chip manufacturing, another crucial input. And its status as a locus of European EV manufacturing has given it the capacity to make electric motors as well. A drone, really, is just a battery, some chips, and a motor.

As for missiles, Poland benefits from being close to Ukraine, which was the center for Soviet rocket manufacturing. Ukrainians regularly invent their own excellent new missiles, but it’s hard to manufacture these in large numbers because the Russians can attack the factories. So why not have the Ukrainians make their missiles in Poland? That would make the factories safer, as well as giving them access to a large pool of local skilled labor.

Building up a tremendous amount of drone and missile manufacturing capacity in Poland would accomplish several purposes at once. First, and most importantly, it would bolster Poland’s own defense. Second, it would allow Poland to support Ukraine more effectively. But third, it would help Poland continue to grow its economy.

Usually we think of military-related spending as a cost to society — a necessary evil that makes a country poorer in order to make it more secure. But for Poland, missile and (especially) drone industries might be able to help it build the domestic brand champions that its FDI-centric development strategy has lacked so far. Developed countries are going to be looking to source battery-powered drones from someone other than China’s DJI, and a Polish drone company could fill that gap. As for missiles, they could help bootstrap a Polish aerospace industry.

Kan Polen bryta Kinas monopol på drönare? Andra länder kan också producera:

Enceladus skrev: ↑onsdag 11 september 2024 22:06 Det hjälper inte heller att Ryssland fortsätter att förlora flygfarkoster - liksom piloter:

Special Kherson Cat skrev:A bit earlier today Ukrainian sources began to claim that Russian Su-30 was downed over the Black Sea. Now Russian sources associated with Russian military aviation seem to confirm this in the usual manner.

/2. Claims from Ukrainian sources regarding the Russian Su-30:

"Yesterday, around 11:40 p.m., an enemy Su-30SM tactical aircraft "disappeared" over the Black Sea after launching Kh-31P missiles targeting Odesa region.

Today, search and rescue operations are ongoing at the place of its disappearance (63 km from Zaliznyi Port, Kherson region).

There was no information about the two crew members, there is a possibility that both did not survive."

/3. Russian sources say that pilots of the Su-30SM which was downed over the Black Sea are dead.

Som bekant är ryssarna duktiga på att likvidera sina egna!

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑lördag 07 september 2024 21:52 När iranska missiler bevisligen satts in i attacker mot Ukraina - då kan vi tala om att missilerna har materialiserats.

The Guardian skrev:The foreign secretary suggested Iran’s dispatch of ballistic missiles to Moscow – revealed this week – had changed strategic thinking in London and Washington. It was a “significant and dangerous escalation”, he said.

He added: “The escalator here is Putin. Putin has escalated with the shipment of missiles from Iran. We see a new axis of Russia, Iran and North Korea.” Lammy urged China “not to throw in its lot” with what he called “a group of renegades”.

British government sources indicated that a decision had already been made to allow Ukraine to use Storm Shadow cruise missiles on targets inside Russia, although it is not expected to be publicly announced on Friday when Starmer meets Biden in Washington DC.

Enceladus skrev: ↑onsdag 24 april 2024 18:59 The US quietly shipped long-range ATACMS missiles to Ukraine

Reuters skrev:The missiles were contained in a $300 million military aid package for Ukraine that U.S. President Joe Biden approved on March 12, said the U.S. official, speaking on condition of anonymity. The official would not say how many of the missiles were sent.

The missiles were used for the first time in the early hours of April 17, launched against a Russian airfield in Crimea that was about 165 km (103 miles) from the Ukrainian front lines, the official said.

[...]

Russia's use of North Korean-supplied long-range ballistic missiles against Ukraine in December and January, despite U.S. public and private warnings not to do so, led to a change in heart, the U.S. official said.

Ukraina verkar ha använt M39A1 i förra veckans attack. Tydligen motiverades USA av de nordkoreanska missilerna - med mindre än 10 procents träffsäkerhet!

FDD skrev:“These Iranian missiles will expand Russian precision-strike capacity at depths of up to 75 miles and could also free up Russian Iskander missiles for strikes against deeper targets. Of course, it remains to be seen whether these Iranian missiles will perform well in Ukraine or will fall flat like the North Korean KN-23. Regardless, this deal is all the more reason to provide Kyiv with more air defense systems to down these missiles and the drones that scout targets for them. It’s also long past time for Washington and its allies to allow Ukraine to use its Western missiles for strikes inside Russia.” — John Hardie, Deputy Director of FDD’s Russia Program

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑torsdag 12 september 2024 7:56 Det finns ingen anledning av göra propagandism av detta. Det framgår inte ens vad detta kan ha berott på; tekniskt fel eller fientlig vapenverkan, ex.vis. Här påstås att planet försökt avlossa antiradarmissilen Kh-31P ( grovt uttryckt en rysk motsvarighet till amerikanska AGM-88 HARM) mot Odessa, en ovanlig attacktyp, som möjligen förde planet i i riskzonen för ukrainskt luftvärn. Kh-31P påstås ha en skottvidd på ~ 110 km.

Flygplanet Su-30M är en äldre medlem i Su-27-familjen och grovt sett en motsvarighet till USA: s F-15E Strike Eagle. I modernare vidareutvecklingar har ryssarna (delvis) separerat jaktplansrollen (Su-35) från attackplansrollen (Su-34).

Special Kherson Cat skrev:Russian Su-30SM was downed from MANPADS during one of the operations in the Black Sea, official statement from the Main Directorate of Intelligence of Ukraine:

“During the operation in the waters of the Black Sea, the soldiers of the special unit of the Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine destroyed a Russian Su-30SM combat aircraft with a MANPADS hit.

The fighter that fell into the sea belonged to the 43rd Independent Naval Attack Aviation Regiment of the Russian Armed Forces, which is based at the airfield of the city of Saki in the temporarily occupied Crimea.

The Russians lost contact with their battleship on September 11, 2024 around 5 am. Roughly three hours later, Russians launched a search and rescue operation involving the An-26 aircraft, as well as Mi-8 and Ka-27 helicopters.

At lunchtime, Russians reported to the command about a characteristic stain from aviation fuel discovered in the sea, 70 kilometers northwest of Cape Tarkhankut, and soon they also saw the wreckage of the destroyed Su-30SM.”

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑tisdag 10 september 2024 16:04 Att påstå att situationen är "den omvända" idag är en kraftig överdrift, däremot har Ukraina en bättre anfallsförmåga från luften än ex.vis under förra årets misslyckade offensiv. De taktiska förändringar som ägt rum sedan 2022 kommenterade jag likaledes förra året, något som Enceladus-kollektivet sedan citerat i tid och otid, men som inte togs med nu eftersom det tydligen inte fyllde Enceladus-kollektivets syfte,

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑söndag 11 juni 2023 9:31 Observera att frasen i det sista stycket "Den här typen av vapen har Ryssland provat ut i flera av sina krig, och de fungerar bäst i öppen terräng och mot större fiendeformationer. Nu opererar ju inte Ukrainas försvarsmakt på detta sätt, man vill undvika stora frontala sammanstötningar där ryssarna kan utnyttja sin större eldkraft. " inte längre är giltig eftersom det nu blir fråga om denna typ av krigföring. Det betyder att Ukraina måste (bl.a.) inrikta sig på att förstöra så många TOS-system som möjligt.

Som vanligt mest tom retorik och innehållslös polemik.

(((Tendar))) skrev:The factory of Omsktransmash in Omsk, Russia, is on fire. The factory produces various products for the military, such as the TOS-1A, but it is also engaged in the refurbishment and repair of tanks.

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑torsdag 12 september 2024 7:30 Likande resonemang har framfört i Polen, alltså begränsningar i den nationella rätten:

Enceladus skrev: ↑torsdag 12 september 2024 11:24

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑tisdag 10 september 2024 16:04 Att påstå att situationen är "den omvända" idag är en kraftig överdrift, däremot har Ukraina en bättre anfallsförmåga från luften än ex.vis under förra årets misslyckade offensiv. De taktiska förändringar som ägt rum sedan 2022 kommenterade jag likaledes förra året, något som Enceladus-kollektivet sedan citerat i tid och otid, men som inte togs med nu eftersom det tydligen inte fyllde Enceladus-kollektivets syfte,

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑söndag 11 juni 2023 9:31 Observera att frasen i det sista stycket "Den här typen av vapen har Ryssland provat ut i flera av sina krig, och de fungerar bäst i öppen terräng och mot större fiendeformationer. Nu opererar ju inte Ukrainas försvarsmakt på detta sätt, man vill undvika stora frontala sammanstötningar där ryssarna kan utnyttja sin större eldkraft. " inte längre är giltig eftersom det nu blir fråga om denna typ av krigföring. Det betyder att Ukraina måste (bl.a.) inrikta sig på att förstöra så många TOS-system som möjligt.

Som vanligt mest tom retorik och innehållslös polemik.

Visst har Ukraina en bättre anfallsförmåga, men inte bara från luften:

(((Tendar))) skrev:The factory of Omsktransmash in Omsk, Russia, is on fire. The factory produces various products for the military, such as the TOS-1A, but it is also engaged in the refurbishment and repair of tanks.

Kan det vara så kallade Telegram-sabotörer som har slagit till igen?

Enceladus skrev: ↑torsdag 12 september 2024 16:39

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑söndag 01 september 2024 9:47 Beträffande seglationsvägarna för spannmålslaster var det i första hand det ukrainska kustartilleriet, liksom de söder om Ukraina liggande Nato-ländernas möjlighet till genomfart i deras territorialvatten som säkrade dem.

]Ukraine says Russia hit civilian grain vessel in Black Sea

Reuters skrev:Ukraine accused Russia on Thursday of using strategic bombers to hit a civilian grain vessel with a missile in the Black Sea in NATO member Romania's maritime economic zone, in what it described as a "brazen attack" on freedom of navigation.

President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said the vessel carrying Ukrainian grain to Egypt had been hit by a Russian missile just after it exited Ukrainian territorial waters, and that there were no casualties according to a preliminary assessment.

[...]

If confirmed, the incident would mark a sharp increase in tensions between Moscow and the NATO military alliance, which has tried to tack a course between fears of escalation and supporting Ukraine in its war with Russia since Moscow's invasion in February 2022.

Ryssland har för första gången gått till attack mot ett vanligt civilt fartyg i Svarta havet i Rumäniens ekonomiska zon. Rumänien vågar ju inte ens röra drönare...

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑måndag 02 oktober 2023 13:56 Den mest riskabla delen av seglatsen är utanför Ukrainas kust, men Ukrainas kustartilleri håller ryska sjöstridskrafter borta. Som jag har sagt tidigare är Putin troligen inte så desperat att han sätter in (flyg- eller fartygsburna) sjömålsmissiler mot handelsfartyg påväg till/från Odessa.

• Angreppet var tänkt som en "varning" och missilen ställdes in för en luftbrisad ovanför det aktuella fartyget, som vid en direktträff bokstavligen borde ha sprängts i bitar
• Precisionen i missilens navigationssystem/målsökare är inte bättre.
  Vid attacker mot landmål verkar det inte ha spelat så stor roll, huvudsaken verkar vara att åstadkomma så stor förstörelse som möjligt. Som sjömålsmissil är är Kh-22 egentligen avsedd att ha en kärnstridsladdning på minst 350 kiloton (ung. motsvarande 15 ggr. Nagasaki-bomben) för att kunna pulvrisera hela flotteskadrar, och då spelar träffsäkerheten inte så stor roll.

Enceladus skrev: ↑torsdag 12 september 2024 11:24

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑torsdag 12 september 2024 7:56 Det finns ingen anledning av göra propagandism av detta. Det framgår inte ens vad detta kan ha berott på; tekniskt fel eller fientlig vapenverkan, ex.vis. Här påstås att planet försökt avlossa antiradarmissilen Kh-31P ( grovt uttryckt en rysk motsvarighet till amerikanska AGM-88 HARM) mot Odessa, en ovanlig attacktyp, som möjligen förde planet i i riskzonen för ukrainskt luftvärn. Kh-31P påstås ha en skottvidd på ~ 110 km.

Flygplanet Su-30M är en äldre medlem i Su-27-familjen och grovt sett en motsvarighet till USA: s F-15E Strike Eagle. I modernare vidareutvecklingar har ryssarna (delvis) separerat jaktplansrollen (Su-35) från attackplansrollen (Su-34).

Ukrainas militära underrättelsetjänst HUR har tagit på sig dådet:

Som bekant har handburna LV-system (MANPADS) begränsad skottvidd. Har de ukrainska specialstyrkorna använt båtar eller oljeplattformar i Svarta havet?

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑fredag 13 september 2024 13:24 Skummar man av både internationella och ukrainska medier så råder det ju väldigt olika uppfattning om vad slags stridsuppdrag det ryska Su-30M-flygplanet egentligen var ute på.

Enceladus skrev: ↑fredag 13 september 2024 14:09 Dessutom spelar Kazakstan dubbla roller:

Militarnyi skrev:Kazakhstan’s ARC Group is servicing Russian Su-30SMs in a way that bypasses sanctions, using French Thales and Safran equipment.

OSINTtechnical skrev:“We don’t need flush mounted rivets for our 5th generation stealth fighter” said the Sukhoi executive as he built a third vacation house on the Black Sea.

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑lördag 15 juni 2024 20:10 Problemet med alla sådana här källor, och särskilt på musk-kloaken, är att de har en tydlig propagandisisk agenda, och då blir det svårt att bedöma hur pass effektiva den här typen av insatser är. Detsamma gäller utläggningar i patriotiska tidningar som ukrainska Defense Express:

Special Kherson Cat skrev:For the first time, we can witness the interception of a Russian reconnaissance drone by FPV from the perspective of another FPV

Special Kherson Cat skrev:The concentration of FPV interceptors in the Ukrainian sky is growing quickly, which cannot but please. Because of this, we even started seeing unique videos of two FPVs hunting for one Russian drone, Supercam in this case.

But there is still a lot of work to do to clear the Ukrainian sky of Russian reconnaissance drones.

Jeff2146 skrev:What is likely to be the first look at a Hawkeye 105mm Self Propelled Gun prototype in Ukrainian service.

AM General representative Mike Evans stated in an interview back in June of this year that their company had delivered a prototype of the Hawkeye system to Ukraine in April.

This photo was posted to the НІП «Тиск» Telegram channel (link in replies) and appears to be showing the system at a firing range.

Hawkeye combines a HMMWV Infantry Mobility Vehicle was a soft recoil 105mm howitzer.

Enceladus skrev: ↑fredag 13 september 2024 14:26 Ukraina är alltjämt beroende av kinesiska batterier och elmotorer, vilket påpekades tidigare för att sedan reflexmässigt förnekas.

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑fredag 30 augusti 2024 7:42 Ja, det är märkligt att den kinesiska kommunistdiktaturen låtit detta pågå så pass länge. Men bestämmer politbyråns ständiga utskott något så blir det så! Egentligen borde Ukraina kunna köpa de komponenter de inte kan tillverka själva från västerländska tillverkare, men då blir det ju dyrare, förstås. Något egentligt monopol har den kinesiska kommunistdiktaturen inte.

Enceladus skrev: ↑fredag 13 september 2024 14:26 Rysslands senaste stridsflygplan är som bekant en annan historia:

OSINTtechnical skrev:“We don’t need flush mounted rivets for our 5th generation stealth fighter” said the Sukhoi executive as he built a third vacation house on the Black Sea.

Enceladus skrev: ↑fredag 13 september 2024 14:26

dr Cassandra Nojdh skrev: ↑fredag 13 september 2024 13:24 Skummar man av både internationella och ukrainska medier så råder det ju väldigt olika uppfattning om vad slags stridsuppdrag det ryska Su-30M-flygplanet egentligen var ute på.

En viktigare fråga är varför dessa flygplan ens kan vara på stridsuppdrag:

Enceladus skrev: ↑fredag 13 september 2024 14:09 Dessutom spelar Kazakstan dubbla roller:

Militarnyi skrev:Kazakhstan’s ARC Group is servicing Russian Su-30SMs in a way that bypasses sanctions, using French Thales and Safran equipment.