En finsk expert tror inte att Ryssland har förmågan att mobilisera.Yle skrev:Pekka Toveri, former intelligence chief of Finland's Defense Command, says that the partial mobilisation is a sign of Russia's losing game and does not signal further concern.
Försvarsutskottet blixtinkallas – kan skicka Archer till Ukraina
Om inget annat så har Putin mobiliserat Europas försvarsaktier.Dagens PS skrev:Försvarsutskottet i Sveriges riksdag blixtinkallas efter Vladimir Putins tal om mobilisering i Ryssland. Resultatet kan bli att Sverige skickar mer vapen till Ukraina, rapporterar TV4.
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”Vi kan kanske avstå några Robotsystem 70 och Archer, en game changer, för Ukraina”, säger han.
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På aktiemarknaden ledde Putins tal till en rusning för försvarsaktier. Svenska försvarskoncernen Saab stiger 6,7 procent (Vid 14.40). Mildef stiger 7,9 procent. Invisio är upp 4,3 procent.
Michael Kofman om mobiliseringen:
Rob Lee om mobiliseringen:Michael Kofman skrev:Mobilization comes with significant political risks and downsides for Moscow, but it could extend Russia's ability to sustain this war more so than alter the outcome. As always, these are just initial impressions and a very imperfect reading at best. 20/
Perhaps a useful addition - mobilization & stop-loss might help Moscow stem the deteriorating quantity of the force, but not the deteriorating quality of the force & its morale. Having used up its best equipment, officers, & personnel, I don't see how this can be recovered.
Mark Hertling om mobiliseringen:Rob Lee skrev:In the short-term, those two steps could be enough to prevent a collapse of Russian forces. Otherwise, Russia's manpower issues could have become catastrophic this winter when many short-term volunteers likely would not sign another contract. 4/
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The other important short-term effect is that there are criminal penalties for soldiers who refuse to fight. Considering that this was 20-40% of soldiers in some units, that isn't insignificant. But an involuntary fighting force won't have great long-term prospects. 10/
Mark Hertling skrev:Remember, RU soldiers get almost ALL training in units vs at basic.
How units are resourced play a big part.
One tank unit i visited near Moscow proudly told me they get 1 tank round/crew each year (US units spend hours in simulators & crews fire dozens of real rounds/year). 9/